Acer Laptop - Aspire 3000
Specifications
Processor
AMD Mobile Sempron 3000+ / 1.8 GHz
Memory
Installed Size 256 MB / 2 GB(max)
Operating System
Microsoft windows XP Home Edition
Display
15.4 inches
System Graphics
Video Graphics processor SiSM760GX
Hard Disk Drive
40 GB
Dimensions
14.3" x 11" x 1.5"
Weight
6.2 lbs
Power
4 cell Lithium ion battery
I/O Ports
Comprehensive I/O ports, including three USB 2.0 ports, a PC Card slot, modem and Ethernet ports
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About Aspire 3000
The Acer Aspire 3000 is one of the great values laptops. The Acer Aspire 3000 is available in inexpensive price now. This is having spectacular features in it. It is a best choice to buy such a laptop notebook pc in low price. It is included with built in devices stereo speakers. The display type is of 15 in TFT matrix with maximum resolution of 1024 x 768 XGA. The most important thing to increase the speed is cache memory is type of L2 cache with 128KB size. The hard drive with in it is of 40GB. Lot of professionals are impressed with its performance. This notebook laptop will give pleasant work experience to the users. The display color support is with 24-bit for 16.7 million colors.
In Acer Aspire 3000 the storage controller type is IDE. This Acer Laptop's audio output type is sound card, input is microphone. It is also provided by one year warranty. When it comes to design part of Acer Aspire 3000 laptop it gets maximum points compare to other laptop pcs. The processor is featured with enhanced virus protection, streaming SIMD extensions 2 and hyper transport. For any laptop pc notebook the optical storage is important. The VGA port, 56kbps modem, Ethernet jacks, three USB 2.0 ports, one type II pc card slot and headphone, line-in, microphone are the three jacks all offered by Acer Laptops exclusively. In this Acer Aspire 3000 included with CD-RW/DVD-ROM Combo as optical storage. The reading speed of CD/DVD is 24 x (CD)/8x (DVD). The write speed of CD/DVD is 24 x and rewrite speed of 24 x.
Acer Laptop - Aspire 4530
Specifications
Processor
AMD Athlon X2 Dual-Core Processor QL-60
Memory
2GB (1GB installed in each of two memory slots) DDR2 667 SDRAMUser upgradeable up to 4GB
Operating System
Genuine Windows Vista Home Premium
Display
14.1 WXGA (1280 x 800) TFT LCD with Acer CrystalBrite Technology
System Graphics
Integrated NVIDIA GeForce 9100M G graphics
Hard Disk Drive
120GB hard disk drive
Optical Drive
Integrated variable-speed Super-Multi drive (DVD+R, DVD-R, DVD-RAM)
Web Cam
integrated Acer Crystal Eye webcam
Wi-Fi
Dimensions
13.3 x 9.6 x 1.1 - 1.5 inches
Weight
5.3 lbs
Power
65-watt AC adapter
I/O Ports
DC-inRJ-11 modemRJ-45 LANVGAHeadphones/speaker/line-outMicrophoneLine-inthree USB 2.0
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About Acer Aspire 4530 Laptop
People aspire to succeed and thus Acer brings forth to us the Aspire series to help us realize our dreams. The Acer Aspire 4530 laptop is stylishly crafted for perfection and has the logo of Acer screaming out their achievement at the surface. The exterior concocts a tale of convenience, individuality and excitement.
There is an Empowering key on the keyboard which provides instant access to the diverse technology presented by Acer. You have a 14.1 inch screen space to enjoy your movies and videos.
You are sure to have fun in using the laptop. The hard disk provides magic to the system. It is generous in its storage, helps the system to boot at an enhanced pace and installs multimedia application in a jiffy.
The latest Acer Bio-Protection fingerprint technology adds an extra feather to the security. Your notebook has to pass the finger print test to execute the functions. This strengthens the security of your notebook.
Software from Acer like GridVista, CrystalBrite helps in multitasking and enhances your multimedia experience respectively.
The Acer notebooks entertain you in your leisure. High quality sound is sure to enthrall you. There is a 5 in 1 card reader which enhances the transfer of data from cameras, digital phones etc to provide rapid access to files piled up in SD card, Memory Stick etc.
The notebooks promise broader and efficient communication. For businessmen the video conferencing facility provided by Acer is efficient enough to mobilize communication between professionals. You have an inbuilt Bluetooth technology to make rapid exchange of data to further distances with broader coverage of profiles.
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Monday, November 2, 2009
Ancient JordanThe most prominent early roots of Jordan , as an independent state, can be traced to the Kingdom of Petra, which was founded by the Nabataeans(Arabic: الأنباط, Al-Anbāt) an ancient Semitic people from Arabia who developed the North Arabic Script that evolved into the Modern Arabic script. During its glory, the Nabataean Kingdom controlled regional trade routes by dominating a large area southwest of the fertile crescent, which included the whole of modern Jordan extending from Syria in the North to the northernArabian Peninsula in the south. As a result, Petra enjoyed independence, prosperity and wealth for hundreds of years until it was absorbed by the Roman Empire which was still expanding in 100 A.D.Jordan also witnessed many other smaller ancient kingdoms having sovereignty for centuries, in addition to the Nabataeans. These included the Kingdom of Edom, the Kingdom of Ammon, the Kingdom of Moab, theKingdom of Judah, and the Hasmonean Kingdom of the Maccabees, which are all mentioned in the Bibleand other ancient Near Eastern documents.[39]During the Greco-Roman period of influence, a number of semi-independent city-states also developed in Jordan under the umbrella of the Decapolis including: Gerasa (Jerash), Philadelphia (Amman), Raphana(Abila), Dion (Capitolias), Gadara (Umm Qays), and Pella (Irbid).Later, Jordan became part of the Arabic Islamic Empire across its different Caliphates stages including Rashidun Empire, Umayyad Empire andAbbasid Empire. After the decline of the Abbasid, Jordan was ruled by several conflicting powers including the Mongols, the Crusaders, theAyyubids and the Mamluks until it became part of the Ottoman Empire in the 16th century.[edit]Modern JordanWith the break-up of the Ottoman Empire at the end of World War I, the League of Nations and the occupying powers chose to redraw the borders of the Middle East. The ensuing decisions, most notably the Sykes–Picot Agreement gave birth to the French Mandate of Syria andBritish Mandate of Palestine. More than 76% of the British Mandate of Palestine was east of the Jordan river and was known as "Transjordan".The country was called "Transjordan", under British supervision until after World War II. In 1946, the British requested that the United Nationsapprove an end to British Mandate rule in Transjordan. Following this approval, the Transjordanian Parliament proclaimed King Abdullah as the first ruler of the Hashemite Kingdom of Transjordan. Abdullah I continued to rule until a Palestinian Arab assassinated him in 1951 as he was departing from the al-Aqsa Mosque in Jerusalem.During the 1948 Arab-Israeli war, Jordan captured the area of Cisjordan now called the West Bank, which it continued to control in accordance with the 1949 Armistice Agreements. Abdullah thereupon took the title King of Jordan, and he officially changed the country's name to the Hashemite Kingdom of Jordan in April 1949. The following year he annexed the West Bank, but only two countries recognized this annexation: Britain and Pakistan.[40][41] Approximate image showing the land exchanged between Jordan (green) and Saudi Arabia (red). The Jordan salient. June 5–7 during the Six Day War. Jordanian parachute flares illuminate Jerusalem during the Arab-Israeli war in 1948Jordan and Iraq united in 1958 to form the Arab Federation of Iraq and Jordan under the Hashemite crowns in Amman and Baghdad. A coup later that year would end the union with the execution of the Hashemite crown in Baghdad. The United Arab Republic consisting of Egypt, Syria, and Yemen quickly moved to antagonize Jordan's young King Hussein with Soviet support. King Hussein asked for British and American assistance. The RAF and the USAF was sent to patrol Jordanian airspace and British troops were deployed in Amman. The UAR backed off but then turned to Lebanon. The Americans would later be deployed inBeirut to support Lebanon's pro-Western government.In 1965, there was an exchange of land between Saudi Arabia and Jordan. Jordan gave up a large area of inland desert in return for a small piece of sea-shore near Aqaba.Jordan signed a military pact with Egypt in May 1967, and following an Israeli air attack on Egypt in June 1967, Egypt, Jordan, Syria and Iraq continued the Six Day War against Israel. During the war, Israel captured the West Bank and East Jerusalem. In 1988, Jordan renounced all claims to the territory now occupied by Israel but its 1994 treaty with Israel allowed for a continuing Jordanian role in Muslim and Christian holy places in Jerusalem. The severance of administrative ties with the West Bank halted the Jordanian government's paying of civil servants and public sectoremployees' salaries in the West Bank.The period following the 1967 war saw an upsurge in the activity and numbers of Arab Palestinian paramilitary elements (fedayeen) within the state of Jordan. These distinct, armed militias were becoming a "state within a state", threatening Jordan's rule of law. King Hussein's armed forces targeted the fedayeen, and open fighting erupted in June 1970. The battle in which Palestinian fighters from various Palestine Liberation Organization (PLO) groups were expelled from Jordan is commonly known as Black September.The heaviest fighting occurred in northern Jordan and Amman. In the ensuing heavy fighting, a Syrian tank force invaded northern Jordan to back the fedayeen fighters, but subsequently retreated. King Husseinurgently asked the United States, Great Britain and Israel to intervene against Syria. Consequently, Israel performed mock air strikes on the Syrian column at the Americans' request. Soon after, Syrian President Nureddin al-Atassi, ordered a hasty retreat from Jordanian soil.[42][43][44]By September 22, Arab foreign ministers meeting in Cairo arranged a cease-fire beginning the following day. However, sporadic violence continued until Jordanian forces, led by Habis Al-Majali, with the help of Iraqi forces,[45] won a decisive victory over the fedayeen on July 1971, expelling them, and ultimately the PLO's Yasser Arafat, from Jordan.At the Rabat summit conference in 1974, Jordan was now in a more secure position to agree, along with the rest of the Arab League, that the PLO was the "sole legitimate representative of the [Arab] Palestinian people", thereby relinquishing to that organization its role as representative of the West Bank.In 1973, allied Arab League forces attacked Israel in the Yom Kippur War, and fighting occurred along the 1967 Jordan River cease-fire line. Jordan sent a brigade to Syria to attack Israeli units on Syrian territory but did not engage Israeli forces from Jordanian territory.Although Jordan did not directly participate in the Gulf War of 1990–91, following Iraq's invasion of Kuwait, King Hussein was accused of supporting Saddam Hussein when he attempted to persuade Saddam Hussein to withdraw from Kuwait. As a result of the alleged support, the United States and Arab countries cut off monetary aid to Jordan, and 700,000 Jordanians who had been working in Arab countries were forced to return to Jordan. In addition, millions of Iraqi refugees fled to Jordan placing a strain on the country's social services.In 1991, Jordan agreed, along with Syria, Lebanon, and Arab Palestinian fedayeen representatives, to participate in direct peace negotiations with Israel at the Madrid Conference, sponsored by the U.S. and Russia. It negotiated an end to hostilities with Israel and signed a declaration to that effect on 25 July 1994 (see Washington Declaration). As a result, an Israeli-Jordanian peace treaty was concluded on 26 October 1994. King Hussein was later honored when his picture appeared on an Israeli postage stamp in recognition of the good relations he established with his neighbor. Since the signing of the peace treaty with Israel, the United States not only contributes hundreds of millions of dollars in an annual foreign aid stipend to Jordan, but also has allowed it to establish a free trade zone in which to manufacture goods that will enter the US without paying the usual import taxes as long as a percentage of the material used in them is purchased in Israel.King Hussein died in 1999. His son, King Abdullah II succeeded him.Following the outbreak of fighting between Israel and Palestinians in the Second Intifada in September 2000, the Jordanian government offered its offices to both parties. Jordan has since sought to remain at peace with all of its neighbors. Particularly good relations have been maintained between the Jordanian royal family and Israel, with the Jordanian government frequently dispersing rallies and jailing demonstrators protesting against Israeli actions. The government also censors anti-Israeli views from the Jordanian news media.The last major strain in Jordan's relations with Israel occurred in September, 1997, when two Israeli agents entered Jordan using Canadian passports and poisoned Khaled Meshal, a senior leader of the Palestinian group Hamas. Under threat of cutting off diplomatic relations, King Hussein forced Israel to provide an antidote to the poison and to release dozens of Jordanians and Palestinians from its prisons, including the spiritual leader of Hamas, Sheikh Ahmed Yassin. Sheikh Yassin was later assassinated by Israel in a targeted bombing in early 2004 in the West Bank.On 9 November 2005 Jordan experienced three simultaneous terrorist bombings at hotels in Amman. At least 57 people died and 115 were wounded. "Al-Qaeda in Iraq", a group led by terrorist Abu Musab al-Zarqawi, a native Jordanian, claimed responsibility.Recently, Jordan has revoked the citizenship of thousands of Palestinians in an attempt to thwart any attempt by Israel of permanetly re-settling West Bank Palestinians in Jordan. West Bank Palestinians with family in Jordan or with previous Jordanian citizenship would be issued yellow cards which guaranteed them all the rights of Jordanian citizenship. Palestinians working for the Palestinian Authority or the PLO were among those who have had their Jordanian passports taken from them, in addition to anyone who did not serve in the Jordanian army. Palestinians living in Jordan with family in the West Bank would also be issued yellow cards. All other Palestinians wishing such Jordanian papers would be issued a green card which would facilitate travel into Jordan and give them temporary Jordanian passports in order to make travel easier. In addition, no Palestinians from the Gaza Strip are given any such privileges because Jordanian authority never extended into the Gaza Strip.[46][edit]Geography Map of JordanMain article: Geography of Jordan Mount Nebo is an elevated ridge that is approximately 817 meteres (2680 feet) above sea level in Western Jordan.Jordan is a Southwest Asian country, bordered by Syria to the north, Iraq to the northeast, Saudi Arabia to the east and south andIsrael to the west. All these border lines add up to 1,619 km (1,006 mi). The Gulf of Aqaba and the Dead Sea also touch the country, and thus Jordan has a coastline of 26 km (16 mi).Jordan consists of arid forest plateau in the east irrigated by oasis and seasonal water streams, with highland area in the west of arable land and Mediterranean evergreen forestry. The Great Rift Valley of the Jordan River separates Jordan, the west bank and Israel. The highest point in the country is Jabal Umm al Dami, it is 1,854 m (6,083 ft) above sea level, its top is also covered with snow, while the lowest is the Dead Sea -420 m (−1,378 ft). Jordan is part of a region considered to be "thecradle of civilization", the Levant region of the Fertile Crescent.Major cities include the capital Amman in the northwest, Irbid and Az Zarqa, both in the north. Madaba, Karak and Aqaba in the south.The climate in Jordan is semidry in summer with average temperature in the mid-30°C (mid-90°F) and relatively cold in winter averaging around −1.3 °C (30 °F). The western part of the country receives greater precipitation during the winter season from November to March and snowfall in Amman (756 m (2,480 ft) ~ 1,280 m (4,199 ft) above sea-level) and Western Heights of 500 m (1,640 ft). Excluding the rift valley the rest of the country is entirely above 300 m (984 ft)(SL).[47][edit]Climate Snow in AmmanThe major characteristic of the climate is humid from November to March and semi dry weather for the rest of the year. With hot, dry, uniform summers and cool, freezing variable winters during which practically all of the precipitation occurs, the country has a Mediterranean-style climate. In general, the farther inland from the Mediterranean Sea a given part of the country lies, the greater are the seasonal contrasts in temperature and the less rainfall. Atmospheric pressures during the summer months are relatively uniform, whereas the winter months bring a succession of marked low pressure areas and accompanying cold fronts. These cyclonic disturbances generally move eastward from over the Mediterranean Sea several times a month and result in sporadic precipitation.Most of the East Bank receives less than 620 mm of rain a year and may be classified as a semi dry region. Where the ground rises to form the highlands east of the Jordan Valley, precipitation increases to around 300 mm in the south and 500 or more mm in the north. The Jordan Valley, lying in the lee of high ground on the West Bank, forms a narrow climatic zone that annually receives up to 900 mm of rain in the northern reaches; rain dwindles to less than 120 mm at the head of theDead Sea. Spring in AmmanThe country's long summer reaches a peak during August. January is usually the coldest month. The fairly wide ranges of temperature during a twenty-four-hour period are greatest during the summer months and have a tendency to increase with higher elevation and distance from the Mediterranean seacoast. Daytime temperatures during the summer months frequently exceed 29 °C and average about 32 °C. In contrast, the winter months—September to March—bring moderately cool and sometimes very cold weather, averaging about 3.2 °C. Except in the rift depression, frost is fairly common during the winter, it may take the form of snow at the higher elevations of the north western highlands. Usually it snows a couple of times in the winter in northern Jordan.For a month or so before and after the summer dry season, hot, dry air from the desert, drawn by low pressure, produces strong winds from the south or southeast that sometimes reach gale force. Known in the Middle East by various names, including the khamsin, this dry, sirocco-style wind is usually accompanied by great dust clouds. Its onset is heralded by a hazy sky, a fallingbarometer, and a drop in relative humidity to about 10 percent. Within a few hours there may be a 10 °C to 15 °C rise in temperature. These windstorms ordinarily last a day or so, cause much discomfort, and destroy crops by desiccating them.The shamal, another wind of some significance, comes from the north or northwest, generally at intervals between June and September. Remarkably steady during daytime hours but becoming a breeze at night, the shammal may blow for as long as nine days out of ten and then repeat the process. It originates as a dry continental mass of polar air that is warmed as it passes over the Eurasian landmass. The dryness allows intense heating of the Earth's surface by the sun, resulting in high daytime temperatures that moderate after sunset.[edit]Administrative divisionsMain articles: Governorates of Jordan and Nahias of JordanAdministratively, Jordan is divided into 12 provinces called governorates, each headed by a governor appointed by the king. They are the sole authorities for all government departments and development projects in their respective areas. The Governorates are:Province Population (2008 est.)[48]Capital city Population (Metropolitan, 2008 est)[49]
Ajlun Governorate118,496 Ajlun8,161Amman Governorate1,939,405 Amman1,135,733Aqaba Governorate107,115 Aqaba95,408Balqa Governorate349,580 As-Salt87,778Irbid Governorate950,700 Irbid650,000Jerash Governorate156,680 Jerash39,540Karak Governorate214,225 Karak22,580Ma'an Governorate103,920 Ma'an30,050Madaba Governorate135,890 Madaba83,180Mafraq Governorate245,670 Mafraq56,340Tafilah Governorate81,000 Tafilah
Zarqa Governorate838,250 Zarqa447,880The Governorates are subdivided into approximately fifty-two nahiyas.[edit]Demographics Graph showing the population of Jordan from 1960 to 2005.Main article: Demographics of JordanThe Jordan National Census for the year 2004, which was released on October 1 of the same year, gave the following results:1. As of October 1 2004, Jordan had a population of 5,100,981. The census estimated that there are another 190,000 who were not counted (for being out of the country at the time the census was taken, or did not turn in their forms).2. The census showed that the national growth rate was 2.5% (at maximum) compared to 3.3% of the 1994 census.3. The census of 2004 also shows that males made up 51.5% of Jordan's population (2,628,717). Females: 2,472,264 (48.5%).4. Jordanian citizens made up 93% of the population (4,750,463), while non Jordanians made up 7% (349,933). However, it is estimated that most of those who did not turn in their forms were immigrants from neighboring countries, or non Arabic-speaking foreigners.5. There were 946,000 families in Jordan in 2004, with an average of 5.3 persons/family (compared to 6 persons/family for the census of 1994).[50] The next census is scheduled to take place in 2014.During the years 2004–2007, Jordan saw a rapid increase in its population due to the heavy migration of Iraqi refugees, an independent census carried in 2007, estimated that there are 700,000 Iraqis residing in Jordan. Most estimates put the population of Jordan slightly over 6,000,000 as of the year 2007.Approximately 95 to 98% of Jordan's population are "Arabs", that is, Arabic-speaking Arab-identified people. Among "Arabs", 60 to 80% are of Palestinian and Syrian origin, only a minority are indigenous Jordanians. Of the non-Arab population, most are Circassians, Chechens,Armenians, Kurds, and Gypsies, which have all maintained separate ethic identities, but have integrated into mainstream Jordanian and Arab culture.[51][52]The number of Lebanese permanently settling in Jordan since the 2006 Lebanon War has not been established, and is estimated to be very little. According to Labour Ministry figures, the number of guest workers in the country now stands just over 300,000, most are Egyptians who makeup 227,000 of the foreign labor, and the remaining 36,150 workers are mostly from Bangladesh, China, Sri Lanka and India. Since the Iraq War many Christians (Assyrians and Chaldeans) from Iraq have settled permanently or temporarily in Jordan.About 92% of Jordanians are Muslims. The majority are Sunni.Jordanian Christians permanently residing in Jordan form approximately 6% of the population and are allocated respective seats in parliament (The Department of Statistics released no information about the religion distribution from the census of 2004). Most Jordanian Christians belong to the Greek Orthodox faith (locally called "Ruum Urthudux" in Arabic). The remainder include Roman Catholics (locally called "Lateen"), the Eastern Catholic Melkites (locally called "Ruum Katoleek") and distinct from other "Western Catholics", as well as various Protestant denominations including Baptists. Most Jordanian Christians are indigenous Arabs, hold services in the Arabic language, and share the culture of Jordan and the broader East Mediterranean Levantine Arab Identity. Expatriate Christians in Jordan include many nationalities, as evinced, for example, by some Catholic masses being celebrated in English, French, Italian, Spanish, Tagalog and Sinhala, and Iraqi dialects of Arabic.Other Jordanians belonging to religious minorities include adherents to the Druze and Bahá'í Faith. The Druze are mainly located in the EasternOasis Town of Azraq and the city of Zarka, while the Village of Adassiyeh bordering the Jordan Valley is home to Jordan's Bahá'í community.The official language is Arabic, but English is used widely in commerce and government and among educated people. Arabic and English are obligatory learning at public and private schools. French is taught at some public and private schools but is not obligatory. However, a vibrantFrancophone community has emerged in modern Jordan.[citation needed] Radio Jordan offers radio services in Arabic, English and French.A portion of the people are registered as Palestinian refugees and displaced persons reside in Jordan, most as citizens. Since 2003 many Iraqis fleeing the Iraq War have settled in Jordan; latest estimates indicate between 700,000 and 1.7 million Iraqis living in Jordan;[53] mainly in Amman, the capital.[54][edit]Politics King Abdullah II, Jordanian Head of State.Main article: Politics of Jordan Queen Rania in the Yellow Oval Room in the White House Residence.Jordan's most executive power is the King although it is aconstitutional monarchy with a representative government. The King traditionally has held substantial power, however the democratically-elected Parliament holds significant influence and power in national governance.[edit]ConstitutionJordan is a constitutional monarchy based on the constitutionpromulgated on 8 January 1952. Executive authority is vested in the king and his council of ministers. The king signs and executes all laws. His veto power may be overridden by a two-thirds vote of both houses of the National Assembly. He appoints and may dismiss all judges by decree, approves amendments to the constitution, declares war, and commands the armed forces. Cabinet decisions, court judgments, and the national currency are issued in his name. The council of ministers, led by a prime minister, is appointed by the king, who may dismiss other cabinet members at the prime minister's request. The cabinet is responsible to the Chamber of Deputies on matters of general policy and can be forced to resign by a 50% or more of vote of "no confidence" by that body.The constitution provides for three categories of courts: civil, religious, and special. Administratively, Jordan is divided into twelve governorates, each headed by a governor appointed by the king. They are the sole authorities for all government departments and development projects in their respective areas.[edit]Legal system and legislationJordan's legal system is based on Islamic law and French codes. Judicial review of legislative acts occurs in a special High Tribunal. It has not accepted compulsory International Court of Justice jurisdiction.Jordan has multi-party politics. There are over 30 political parties in the Jordan from a wide range of positions ranging from extreme left (Jordanian Communist Party) to extreme right (Islamic Action Front).Article 97 of Jordan’s constitution guarantees the independence of the judicial branch, clearly stating that judges are 'subject to no authority but that of the law.' While the king must approve the appointment and dismissal of judges, in practice these are supervised by the Higher Judicial Council.The Jordanian legal system draws upon civil traditions as well as Islamic law and custom. Article 99 of the Constitution divides the courts into three categories: civil, religious and special. The civil courts deal with civil and criminal matters in accordance with the law, and they have jurisdiction over all persons in all matters, civil and criminal, including cases brought against the government. The civil courts include Magistrate Courts, Courts of First Instance, Courts of Appeal, High Administrative Courts and the Supreme Court.The religious courts include shari’a (Islamic law) courts and the tribunals of other religious communities, namely those of the Christian minority. Religious courts have primary and appellate courts and deal only with matters involving personal law such as marriage, divorce, inheritance and child custody. Shari’a courts also have jurisdiction over matters pertaining to the Islamic waqfs. In cases involving parties of different religions, regular courts have jurisdiction.[55]Specialized courts involve various bodies. One such body is the Supreme Council which will interpret the Constitution if requested by either the National Assembly or the prime minister, according to Dew et al.: "...such courts are usually created in areas that the legislator deems should be governed by specialized courts with more experience and knowledge in specific matters than other regular courts."[56] Other examples of special courts include the Court of Income Tax and the Highest Court of Felonies.The strictly military courts of the martial law period have been abolished and replaced with a State Security Court, which is composed of both military and civilian judges. The court tries both military and civilians and its jurisdiction includes offenses against the external and internal security of the state as well as drug-related and other offenses. The findings of this court are subject to appeal before the High Court.Both Article 102 of the Constitution and the Code of Criminal Procedure mandate the right of an accused person to a lawyer of his or her own choice during the investigation and trial period. Article 22 of the Code of Criminal Procedure also provides that a lawyer has the right to attend the interrogation unless the investigation is confidential or urgent. Article 28 of the Code of Criminal Procedure declares that detainees should be brought before a court within 48 hours of arrest, even in special security cases, giving them an opportunity to have full access to legal counsel.[55]Prior to 2002 Jordan’s legal system only allowed men to file for divorce, however, during this year the first Jordanian woman successfully filed for divorce;[57] this was made possible from a proposal by a royal human rights commission which had been established by King Abdullah who had vowed to improve the status of women in Jordan.Despite being traditionally dominated by men the number of women involved as lawyers in the Jordan legal system has been increasing. As of mid-2006 Jordan had 1,284 female lawyers, out of a total number of 6,915, and 35 female judges from a total of 630. In Jordan, between 15 and 20 women are murdered annually in the name of "honour" and at least eight such killings have been reported in 2008, according to Jordanian authorities. In 2007 17 such murders were recorded.[edit]Kings of Jordan and political eventsKing Abdullah I ruled Jordan after independence from Britain. After the assassination of King Abdullah I in 1951, his son King Talal ruled briefly. King Talal's major accomplishment was the Jordanian constitution. King Talal was removed from the throne in 1952 due to mental illness. At that time his son, Hussein, was too young to rule, and hence a committee ruled over Jordan.After Hussein reached 18, he ruled Jordan as king from 1953 to 1999, surviving a number of challenges to his rule, drawing on the loyalty of his military, and serving as a symbol of unity and stability for both the Bedouin-related and Palestinian communities in Jordan. King Hussein endedmartial law in 1991 and legalized political parties in 1992. In 1989 and 1993, Jordan held free and fair parliamentary elections. Controversial changes in the election law led Islamist parties to boycott the 1997 elections.King Abdullah II succeeded his father Hussein following the latter's death in February 1999. Abdullah moved quickly to reaffirm Jordan's peace treaty with Israel and its relations with the United States. Abdullah, during the first year in power, refocused the government's agenda on economic reform.Jordan's continuing structural economic difficulties, burgeoning population, and more open political environment led to the emergence of a variety of political parties. Moving toward greater independence, Jordan's parliament has investigated corruption charges against several regime figures and has become the major forum in which differing political views, including those of political Islamists, are expressed. While the King remains the ultimate authority in Jordan, the parliament plays an important role.[edit]ReligionReligion in Jordan[51]
Religion Percent Sunni Muslims 92%Christian 6%Shia Muslims, Druze 2%
Main article: Religion in Jordan
Ajlun Governorate118,496 Ajlun8,161Amman Governorate1,939,405 Amman1,135,733Aqaba Governorate107,115 Aqaba95,408Balqa Governorate349,580 As-Salt87,778Irbid Governorate950,700 Irbid650,000Jerash Governorate156,680 Jerash39,540Karak Governorate214,225 Karak22,580Ma'an Governorate103,920 Ma'an30,050Madaba Governorate135,890 Madaba83,180Mafraq Governorate245,670 Mafraq56,340Tafilah Governorate81,000 Tafilah
Zarqa Governorate838,250 Zarqa447,880The Governorates are subdivided into approximately fifty-two nahiyas.[edit]Demographics Graph showing the population of Jordan from 1960 to 2005.Main article: Demographics of JordanThe Jordan National Census for the year 2004, which was released on October 1 of the same year, gave the following results:1. As of October 1 2004, Jordan had a population of 5,100,981. The census estimated that there are another 190,000 who were not counted (for being out of the country at the time the census was taken, or did not turn in their forms).2. The census showed that the national growth rate was 2.5% (at maximum) compared to 3.3% of the 1994 census.3. The census of 2004 also shows that males made up 51.5% of Jordan's population (2,628,717). Females: 2,472,264 (48.5%).4. Jordanian citizens made up 93% of the population (4,750,463), while non Jordanians made up 7% (349,933). However, it is estimated that most of those who did not turn in their forms were immigrants from neighboring countries, or non Arabic-speaking foreigners.5. There were 946,000 families in Jordan in 2004, with an average of 5.3 persons/family (compared to 6 persons/family for the census of 1994).[50] The next census is scheduled to take place in 2014.During the years 2004–2007, Jordan saw a rapid increase in its population due to the heavy migration of Iraqi refugees, an independent census carried in 2007, estimated that there are 700,000 Iraqis residing in Jordan. Most estimates put the population of Jordan slightly over 6,000,000 as of the year 2007.Approximately 95 to 98% of Jordan's population are "Arabs", that is, Arabic-speaking Arab-identified people. Among "Arabs", 60 to 80% are of Palestinian and Syrian origin, only a minority are indigenous Jordanians. Of the non-Arab population, most are Circassians, Chechens,Armenians, Kurds, and Gypsies, which have all maintained separate ethic identities, but have integrated into mainstream Jordanian and Arab culture.[51][52]The number of Lebanese permanently settling in Jordan since the 2006 Lebanon War has not been established, and is estimated to be very little. According to Labour Ministry figures, the number of guest workers in the country now stands just over 300,000, most are Egyptians who makeup 227,000 of the foreign labor, and the remaining 36,150 workers are mostly from Bangladesh, China, Sri Lanka and India. Since the Iraq War many Christians (Assyrians and Chaldeans) from Iraq have settled permanently or temporarily in Jordan.About 92% of Jordanians are Muslims. The majority are Sunni.Jordanian Christians permanently residing in Jordan form approximately 6% of the population and are allocated respective seats in parliament (The Department of Statistics released no information about the religion distribution from the census of 2004). Most Jordanian Christians belong to the Greek Orthodox faith (locally called "Ruum Urthudux" in Arabic). The remainder include Roman Catholics (locally called "Lateen"), the Eastern Catholic Melkites (locally called "Ruum Katoleek") and distinct from other "Western Catholics", as well as various Protestant denominations including Baptists. Most Jordanian Christians are indigenous Arabs, hold services in the Arabic language, and share the culture of Jordan and the broader East Mediterranean Levantine Arab Identity. Expatriate Christians in Jordan include many nationalities, as evinced, for example, by some Catholic masses being celebrated in English, French, Italian, Spanish, Tagalog and Sinhala, and Iraqi dialects of Arabic.Other Jordanians belonging to religious minorities include adherents to the Druze and Bahá'í Faith. The Druze are mainly located in the EasternOasis Town of Azraq and the city of Zarka, while the Village of Adassiyeh bordering the Jordan Valley is home to Jordan's Bahá'í community.The official language is Arabic, but English is used widely in commerce and government and among educated people. Arabic and English are obligatory learning at public and private schools. French is taught at some public and private schools but is not obligatory. However, a vibrantFrancophone community has emerged in modern Jordan.[citation needed] Radio Jordan offers radio services in Arabic, English and French.A portion of the people are registered as Palestinian refugees and displaced persons reside in Jordan, most as citizens. Since 2003 many Iraqis fleeing the Iraq War have settled in Jordan; latest estimates indicate between 700,000 and 1.7 million Iraqis living in Jordan;[53] mainly in Amman, the capital.[54][edit]Politics King Abdullah II, Jordanian Head of State.Main article: Politics of Jordan Queen Rania in the Yellow Oval Room in the White House Residence.Jordan's most executive power is the King although it is aconstitutional monarchy with a representative government. The King traditionally has held substantial power, however the democratically-elected Parliament holds significant influence and power in national governance.[edit]ConstitutionJordan is a constitutional monarchy based on the constitutionpromulgated on 8 January 1952. Executive authority is vested in the king and his council of ministers. The king signs and executes all laws. His veto power may be overridden by a two-thirds vote of both houses of the National Assembly. He appoints and may dismiss all judges by decree, approves amendments to the constitution, declares war, and commands the armed forces. Cabinet decisions, court judgments, and the national currency are issued in his name. The council of ministers, led by a prime minister, is appointed by the king, who may dismiss other cabinet members at the prime minister's request. The cabinet is responsible to the Chamber of Deputies on matters of general policy and can be forced to resign by a 50% or more of vote of "no confidence" by that body.The constitution provides for three categories of courts: civil, religious, and special. Administratively, Jordan is divided into twelve governorates, each headed by a governor appointed by the king. They are the sole authorities for all government departments and development projects in their respective areas.[edit]Legal system and legislationJordan's legal system is based on Islamic law and French codes. Judicial review of legislative acts occurs in a special High Tribunal. It has not accepted compulsory International Court of Justice jurisdiction.Jordan has multi-party politics. There are over 30 political parties in the Jordan from a wide range of positions ranging from extreme left (Jordanian Communist Party) to extreme right (Islamic Action Front).Article 97 of Jordan’s constitution guarantees the independence of the judicial branch, clearly stating that judges are 'subject to no authority but that of the law.' While the king must approve the appointment and dismissal of judges, in practice these are supervised by the Higher Judicial Council.The Jordanian legal system draws upon civil traditions as well as Islamic law and custom. Article 99 of the Constitution divides the courts into three categories: civil, religious and special. The civil courts deal with civil and criminal matters in accordance with the law, and they have jurisdiction over all persons in all matters, civil and criminal, including cases brought against the government. The civil courts include Magistrate Courts, Courts of First Instance, Courts of Appeal, High Administrative Courts and the Supreme Court.The religious courts include shari’a (Islamic law) courts and the tribunals of other religious communities, namely those of the Christian minority. Religious courts have primary and appellate courts and deal only with matters involving personal law such as marriage, divorce, inheritance and child custody. Shari’a courts also have jurisdiction over matters pertaining to the Islamic waqfs. In cases involving parties of different religions, regular courts have jurisdiction.[55]Specialized courts involve various bodies. One such body is the Supreme Council which will interpret the Constitution if requested by either the National Assembly or the prime minister, according to Dew et al.: "...such courts are usually created in areas that the legislator deems should be governed by specialized courts with more experience and knowledge in specific matters than other regular courts."[56] Other examples of special courts include the Court of Income Tax and the Highest Court of Felonies.The strictly military courts of the martial law period have been abolished and replaced with a State Security Court, which is composed of both military and civilian judges. The court tries both military and civilians and its jurisdiction includes offenses against the external and internal security of the state as well as drug-related and other offenses. The findings of this court are subject to appeal before the High Court.Both Article 102 of the Constitution and the Code of Criminal Procedure mandate the right of an accused person to a lawyer of his or her own choice during the investigation and trial period. Article 22 of the Code of Criminal Procedure also provides that a lawyer has the right to attend the interrogation unless the investigation is confidential or urgent. Article 28 of the Code of Criminal Procedure declares that detainees should be brought before a court within 48 hours of arrest, even in special security cases, giving them an opportunity to have full access to legal counsel.[55]Prior to 2002 Jordan’s legal system only allowed men to file for divorce, however, during this year the first Jordanian woman successfully filed for divorce;[57] this was made possible from a proposal by a royal human rights commission which had been established by King Abdullah who had vowed to improve the status of women in Jordan.Despite being traditionally dominated by men the number of women involved as lawyers in the Jordan legal system has been increasing. As of mid-2006 Jordan had 1,284 female lawyers, out of a total number of 6,915, and 35 female judges from a total of 630. In Jordan, between 15 and 20 women are murdered annually in the name of "honour" and at least eight such killings have been reported in 2008, according to Jordanian authorities. In 2007 17 such murders were recorded.[edit]Kings of Jordan and political eventsKing Abdullah I ruled Jordan after independence from Britain. After the assassination of King Abdullah I in 1951, his son King Talal ruled briefly. King Talal's major accomplishment was the Jordanian constitution. King Talal was removed from the throne in 1952 due to mental illness. At that time his son, Hussein, was too young to rule, and hence a committee ruled over Jordan.After Hussein reached 18, he ruled Jordan as king from 1953 to 1999, surviving a number of challenges to his rule, drawing on the loyalty of his military, and serving as a symbol of unity and stability for both the Bedouin-related and Palestinian communities in Jordan. King Hussein endedmartial law in 1991 and legalized political parties in 1992. In 1989 and 1993, Jordan held free and fair parliamentary elections. Controversial changes in the election law led Islamist parties to boycott the 1997 elections.King Abdullah II succeeded his father Hussein following the latter's death in February 1999. Abdullah moved quickly to reaffirm Jordan's peace treaty with Israel and its relations with the United States. Abdullah, during the first year in power, refocused the government's agenda on economic reform.Jordan's continuing structural economic difficulties, burgeoning population, and more open political environment led to the emergence of a variety of political parties. Moving toward greater independence, Jordan's parliament has investigated corruption charges against several regime figures and has become the major forum in which differing political views, including those of political Islamists, are expressed. While the King remains the ultimate authority in Jordan, the parliament plays an important role.[edit]ReligionReligion in Jordan[51]
Religion Percent Sunni Muslims 92%Christian 6%Shia Muslims, Druze 2%
Main article: Religion in Jordan
Jordan (Arabic: الأردنّ al-'Urdunn), officially the Hashemite Kingdom of Jordan, is a country inWestern Asia spanning the southern part of the Syrian Desert down to the Gulf of Aqaba. Jordan shares borders with Syria to the north, Iraq to the northeast, Saudi Arabia to the east and south, the Gulf of Aqaba to the southwest, and Israel and the West Bank to the west. It shares control of the Dead Sea with Israel. Much of Jordan is covered by desert, particularly the Arabian Desert; however the north-western area, with the Jordan River, is regarded as part of the Fertile Crescent. The capital city of Amman is in the north-west.During its history, Jordan has seen numerous civilisations, including such ancient eastern ones as the Canaanite and later other Semitic peoples such as the Edomites, and the Moabites. Other civilisations possessing political sovereignty and influence in Jordan were: Akkadian, Assyrian,Judean, Babylonian, and Persian empires. Jordan was for a time part of Pharaonic Egypt, theHasmonean Dynasty of the Maccabees, and also spawned the native Nabatean civilisation which left rich archaeological remains at Petra. Cultures from the west also left their mark, such as theMacedonian, Roman, Byzantine, and Ottoman Turkish empires. Since the seventh century the area has been under Muslim and Arab cultures, with the exception of a brief period when the west of the area formed part of the Crusader Kingdom of Jerusalem and a short time under British rule.The Hashemite Kingdom of Jordan is a constitutional monarchy with representative government. The reigning monarch is the head of state, the chief executive and the commander-in-chief of the armed forces. The king exercises his executive authority through the prime ministers and the Council of Ministers, or cabinet. The cabinet, meanwhile, is responsible before the democratically elected House of Deputies which, along with the House of Notables (Senate), constitutes the legislative branch of the government. The judicial branch is an independent branch of the government.Jordan is a modern Arab nation with a predominantly middle class population that lacks the vast wealth of some of its neighbors. Jordan's population is 92% Sunni Muslim with a small Christian minority. Jordanian society is predominantly urbanized and very ethnically diverse. Jordan is classified as an emerging market by the CIA factbook. Jordan is a pro-Western regime that has very close relations with the West especially with the United States, the United Kingdom andFrance. Jordan became a major non-NATO ally in 1996. Jordan is one of only two Arab nations, the other being Egypt, that has relations with Israel[4][5][6][7][8][9][10][11]. It is a founding member of the Arab League[12][13] and the CAEU, a member of the OIC[14][15], theWTO[16][17][18][19][20][21][22][23][24], the AFESD[25], the Arab Parliament[26], the AIDMO[27], theAMF[28], the IMF[29][30], the International Criminal Court[31], the UNHRC[32], the GAFTA, theESCWA[33], the ENP[34][35][36] and the United Nations[37]. Jordan is also currently undergoing close integration with the European Union and the Gulf Cooperation Council. Jordan expects to receive "advanced status" with the EU by 2011. [38]
Tracking the Global Recession accurate and useful information from Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Sjostrom, Jr., William K.. "The AIG Bailout". (2009) In depth: Global financial crisis from the Financial Times Stimulus Watch, U.S. Budget Watch, an interactive database which tracks all economic recovery efforts Woods, Thomas (2009). Meltdown: A Free-Market Look at Why the Stock Market Collapsed, the Economy Tanked, and Government Bailouts Will Make Things Worse. Washington, DC: Regnery. ISBN 1596985879. Erollover on housing bubble A view from inside the financial world. Deeper analysis and part of the solution ? Eddy Vanderlinden ILO Job Crisis Observatory [8] Financial Crisis-IMF [9] Financial Crisis-World Bank Group [10] From Global Financial Crisis-Asian Development Bank [11] Financial Crisis -Theological Responses and Resources [12] 2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis (useful links)[hide]v • d • eFinancial crisis of 2007–2009 Late 2000s recession • 2008 G-20 Washington summit • APEC Peru 2008 • 2009 G-20 London summit • 2009 G-20 Pittsburgh summit
Specific issues United States housing market correction • World food price crisis • Energy crisis (Central Asia) •Subprime mortgage crisis (timeline, List of writedowns) • Automotive industry crisis • Future of newspapers •List of entities involved (Bankrupt or acquired banks, Bankrupt retailers) • Effects upon museums • Banking revelations in Ireland •Resurgence of Keynesianism
By country (or region) Belgium • Iceland • Ireland • Latvia • Russia • Spain • Ukraine • (Europe • Africa • Americas • Asia • Australasia)
Legislation and policy responses Banking and financestability and reform Banking (Special Provisions) Act 2008 • Commercial Paper Funding Facility • Emergency Economic Stabilization Act of 2008 •Troubled Assets Relief Program • Term Asset-Backed Securities Loan Facility • Temporary Liquidity Guarantee Program •2008 United Kingdom bank rescue package • 2008 East Asian meetings • Anglo Irish Bank Corporation Bill 2009 •2009 G-20 London summit • Irish emergency budget, 2009 • National Asset Management Agency
Stimulus and recovery National fiscal policy response to the late 2000s recession • Housing and Economic Recovery Act of 2008 •Economic Stimulus Act of 2008 • 2008 Chinese economic stimulus plan • 2008 European Union stimulus plan •American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009 • Green New Deal
Companies and banking institutions Companies in bankruptcy,administration,or other insolvencyproceedings; or in failureNew Century Financial Corporation • Woolworths • American Freedom Mortgage • American Home Mortgage •Bernard L. Madoff Investment Securities LLC • Charter Communications • Lehman Brothers (bankruptcy) • Linens 'n Things • Mervyns •NetBank • Terra Securities (scandal) • Sentinel Management Group • Washington Mutual • Icesave • Kaupthing Singer & Friedlander •Yamato Life • Circuit City • Allco Finance Group • Waterford Wedgwood • Saab Automobile • BearingPoint • Tweeter •Babcock & Brown • Silicon Graphics • Conquest Vacations • General Growth Properties • Chrysler (bankruptcy) •Thornburg Mortgage • Great Southern Group • General Motors (bankruptcy) • Eddie Bauer • Nortel • BI-LO (United States) •Arena Football League • DSB Bank
Government bailoutsand takeovers Northern Rock (nationalisation) • Bear Stearns • IndyMac Federal Bank • Fannie Mae (takeover) • Freddie Mac (takeover) • AIG •Bradford & Bingley • Fortis • Glitnir • Hypo Real Estate • Dexia • CL Financial • Landsbanki • Kaupthing • Straumur • ING Group • Citigroup •General Motors • Chrysler • Bank of America • Anglo Irish Bank (nationalisation) • Parex Bank • Bank of Antigua •ACC Capital Holdings (reorganization) • U.S. Central Credit Union • Bank of Ireland • Allied Irish Bank
Company acquisitions Ameriquest Mortgage • Countrywide Financial • Bear Stearns • Alliance & Leicester • Merrill Lynch • Washington Mutual •Derbyshire Building Society • Cheshire Building Society • HBOS • Wachovia • Sovereign Bank • Barnsley Building Society •Scarborough Building Society • National City Corp. (details) • Dunfermline Building Society
Other topics Alleged fraudsand fraudsters Stanford Financial Group (Allen Stanford) • Fairfield Greenwich Group • UBS AG • Sean FitzPatrick (Anglo Irish Bank) •Kazutsugi Nami (Enten controversy) • Nicholas Cosmo • Arthur Nadel • Paul Greenwood • Stephen Walsh • Laura Pendergest-Holt •Angelo Mozilo • Barry Tannenbaum
Proven or admittedfrauds and fraudsters Bernard Madoff (Ponzi scheme)(Frank DiPascali) • Satyam Computer Services (accounting scandal) (Ramalinga Raju) •Marc Stuart Dreier • Norman Hsu • Joseph S. Forte • Du Jun
Related entities Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation • Federal Reserve System • Federal Housing Administration • Federal Housing Finance Agency •Federal Housing Finance Board • Government National Mortgage Association • Office of Federal Housing Enterprise Oversight •Office of Financial Stability • UK Financial Investments Limited • Federal Home Loan Banks
Securities involvedand financial markets Auction rate securities • Collateralized debt obligations • Collateralized mortgage obligations • Credit default swaps •Mortgage-backed securities • Secondary mortgage market
Related topics Bailout • Bank run • Credit crunch • Economic bubble • Error account • Financial contagion • Financial crisis • Interbank lending market •Liquidity crisis • Ponzi scheme • Prison consultant • Tea Party protests
[show]v • d • eUS Subprime mortgage crisis
[show]v • d • eBanking panics in the United States
[show]v • d • eStock market crashes
Categories: Late 2000s global financial crisis 2000s economic history 2008 in economics Economic bubbles Economic crises Financial crises Stock market crashes Real estate crises• article • discussion • edit this page • history• Try Beta • Log in / create account
navigation Main page Contents Featured content Current events Random articlesearch interaction About Wikipedia Community portal Recent changes Contact Wikipedia Donate to Wikipedia Helptoolbox What links here Related changes Upload file Special pages Printable version Permanent link Cite this pagelanguages Česky Dansk Deutsch Ελληνικά Español فارسی Français 한국어 Hrvatski Bahasa Indonesia Latviešu Lëtzebuergesch Nederlands 日本語 Norsk (bokmål) Ripoarisch Română Русский Suomi Tiếng Việt 中文 This page was last modified on 24 October 2009 at 16:16. Text is available under the Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike License; additional terms may apply. See Terms of Use for details.Wikipedia® is a registered trademark of the Wikimedia Foundation, Inc., a non-profit organization. Privacy policy About Wikipedia Disclaimers
Specific issues United States housing market correction • World food price crisis • Energy crisis (Central Asia) •Subprime mortgage crisis (timeline, List of writedowns) • Automotive industry crisis • Future of newspapers •List of entities involved (Bankrupt or acquired banks, Bankrupt retailers) • Effects upon museums • Banking revelations in Ireland •Resurgence of Keynesianism
By country (or region) Belgium • Iceland • Ireland • Latvia • Russia • Spain • Ukraine • (Europe • Africa • Americas • Asia • Australasia)
Legislation and policy responses Banking and financestability and reform Banking (Special Provisions) Act 2008 • Commercial Paper Funding Facility • Emergency Economic Stabilization Act of 2008 •Troubled Assets Relief Program • Term Asset-Backed Securities Loan Facility • Temporary Liquidity Guarantee Program •2008 United Kingdom bank rescue package • 2008 East Asian meetings • Anglo Irish Bank Corporation Bill 2009 •2009 G-20 London summit • Irish emergency budget, 2009 • National Asset Management Agency
Stimulus and recovery National fiscal policy response to the late 2000s recession • Housing and Economic Recovery Act of 2008 •Economic Stimulus Act of 2008 • 2008 Chinese economic stimulus plan • 2008 European Union stimulus plan •American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009 • Green New Deal
Companies and banking institutions Companies in bankruptcy,administration,or other insolvencyproceedings; or in failureNew Century Financial Corporation • Woolworths • American Freedom Mortgage • American Home Mortgage •Bernard L. Madoff Investment Securities LLC • Charter Communications • Lehman Brothers (bankruptcy) • Linens 'n Things • Mervyns •NetBank • Terra Securities (scandal) • Sentinel Management Group • Washington Mutual • Icesave • Kaupthing Singer & Friedlander •Yamato Life • Circuit City • Allco Finance Group • Waterford Wedgwood • Saab Automobile • BearingPoint • Tweeter •Babcock & Brown • Silicon Graphics • Conquest Vacations • General Growth Properties • Chrysler (bankruptcy) •Thornburg Mortgage • Great Southern Group • General Motors (bankruptcy) • Eddie Bauer • Nortel • BI-LO (United States) •Arena Football League • DSB Bank
Government bailoutsand takeovers Northern Rock (nationalisation) • Bear Stearns • IndyMac Federal Bank • Fannie Mae (takeover) • Freddie Mac (takeover) • AIG •Bradford & Bingley • Fortis • Glitnir • Hypo Real Estate • Dexia • CL Financial • Landsbanki • Kaupthing • Straumur • ING Group • Citigroup •General Motors • Chrysler • Bank of America • Anglo Irish Bank (nationalisation) • Parex Bank • Bank of Antigua •ACC Capital Holdings (reorganization) • U.S. Central Credit Union • Bank of Ireland • Allied Irish Bank
Company acquisitions Ameriquest Mortgage • Countrywide Financial • Bear Stearns • Alliance & Leicester • Merrill Lynch • Washington Mutual •Derbyshire Building Society • Cheshire Building Society • HBOS • Wachovia • Sovereign Bank • Barnsley Building Society •Scarborough Building Society • National City Corp. (details) • Dunfermline Building Society
Other topics Alleged fraudsand fraudsters Stanford Financial Group (Allen Stanford) • Fairfield Greenwich Group • UBS AG • Sean FitzPatrick (Anglo Irish Bank) •Kazutsugi Nami (Enten controversy) • Nicholas Cosmo • Arthur Nadel • Paul Greenwood • Stephen Walsh • Laura Pendergest-Holt •Angelo Mozilo • Barry Tannenbaum
Proven or admittedfrauds and fraudsters Bernard Madoff (Ponzi scheme)(Frank DiPascali) • Satyam Computer Services (accounting scandal) (Ramalinga Raju) •Marc Stuart Dreier • Norman Hsu • Joseph S. Forte • Du Jun
Related entities Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation • Federal Reserve System • Federal Housing Administration • Federal Housing Finance Agency •Federal Housing Finance Board • Government National Mortgage Association • Office of Federal Housing Enterprise Oversight •Office of Financial Stability • UK Financial Investments Limited • Federal Home Loan Banks
Securities involvedand financial markets Auction rate securities • Collateralized debt obligations • Collateralized mortgage obligations • Credit default swaps •Mortgage-backed securities • Secondary mortgage market
Related topics Bailout • Bank run • Credit crunch • Economic bubble • Error account • Financial contagion • Financial crisis • Interbank lending market •Liquidity crisis • Ponzi scheme • Prison consultant • Tea Party protests
[show]v • d • eUS Subprime mortgage crisis
[show]v • d • eBanking panics in the United States
[show]v • d • eStock market crashes
Categories: Late 2000s global financial crisis 2000s economic history 2008 in economics Economic bubbles Economic crises Financial crises Stock market crashes Real estate crises• article • discussion • edit this page • history• Try Beta • Log in / create account
navigation Main page Contents Featured content Current events Random articlesearch interaction About Wikipedia Community portal Recent changes Contact Wikipedia Donate to Wikipedia Helptoolbox What links here Related changes Upload file Special pages Printable version Permanent link Cite this pagelanguages Česky Dansk Deutsch Ελληνικά Español فارسی Français 한국어 Hrvatski Bahasa Indonesia Latviešu Lëtzebuergesch Nederlands 日本語 Norsk (bokmål) Ripoarisch Română Русский Suomi Tiếng Việt 中文 This page was last modified on 24 October 2009 at 16:16. Text is available under the Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike License; additional terms may apply. See Terms of Use for details.Wikipedia® is a registered trademark of the Wikimedia Foundation, Inc., a non-profit organization. Privacy policy About Wikipedia Disclaimers
Official economic projectionsOn November 3, 2008, the EU-commission at Brussels predicted for 2009 an extremely weak growth of GDP, by 0.1 percent, for the countries of the Euro zone (France, Germany, Italy, etc.) and even negative number for the UK (-1.0 percent), Ireland and Spain. On November 6, the IMF at Washington, D.C., launched numbers predicting a worldwide recession by -0.3 percent for 2009, averaged over the developed economies. On the same day, the Bank of England and the Central Bank for the Euro zone, respectively, reduced their interest rates from 4.5 percent down to three percent, and from 3.75 percent down to 3.25 percent. Economically, mainly the car industry seems to be involved. As a consequence, starting from November 2008, several countries launched large "help packages" for their economies.The U.S. Federal Reserve Open Market Committee release in June 2009 stated: "...the pace of economic contraction is slowing. Conditions in financial markets have generally improved in recent months. Household spending has shown further signs of stabilizing but remains constrained by ongoing job losses, lower housing wealth, and tight credit. Businesses are cutting back on fixed investment and staffing but appear to be making progress in bringing inventory stocks into better alignment with sales. Although economic activity is likely to remain weak for a time, the Committee continues to anticipate that policy actions to stabilize financial markets and institutions, fiscal and monetary stimulus, and market forces will contribute to a gradual resumption of sustainable economic growth in a context of price stability."[136] Economic projections from the Federal Reserve and Reserve Bank Presidents include a return to typical growth levels (GDP) of 2-3% in 2010; an unemployment plateau in 2009 and 2010 around 10% with moderation in 2011; and inflation that remains at typical levels around 1-2%.[137][edit]Responses to financial crisis[edit]Emergency and short-term responsesMain article: Subprime mortgage crisis#ResponsesThe U.S. Federal Reserve and central banks around the world have taken steps to expand money supplies to avoid the risk of a deflationary spiral, in which lower wages and higher unemployment lead to a self-reinforcing decline in global consumption. In addition, governments have enacted large fiscal stimulus packages, by borrowing and spending to offset the reduction in private sector demand caused by the crisis. The U.S. executed two stimulus packages, totaling nearly $1 trillion during 2008 and 2009.[138]This credit freeze brought the global financial system to the brink of collapse. The response of the USA Federal Reserve, the European Central Bank, and other central banks was immediate and dramatic. During the last quarter of 2008, these central banks purchased US$2.5 trillion of government debt and troubled private assets from banks. This was the largest liquidity injection into the credit market, and the largest monetary policy action, in world history. The governments of European nations and the USA also raised the capital of their national banking systems by $1.5 trillion, by purchasing newly issued preferred stock in their major banks.[100]Governments have also bailed-out a variety of firms as discussed above, incurring large financial obligations. To date, various U.S. government agencies have committed or spent trillions of dollars in loans, asset purchases, guarantees, and direct spending. For a summary of U.S. government financial commitments and investments related to the crisis, see CNN - Bailout Scorecard.[edit]Regulatory proposals and long-term responsesFurther information: Regulatory responses to the subprime crisis and Subprime mortgage crisis solutions debateAmerican President Barack Obama and key advisers introduced a series of regulatory proposals in June 2009. The proposals address consumer protection, executive pay, bank financial cushions or capital requirements, expanded regulation of the shadow banking system andderivatives, and enhanced authority for the Federal Reserve to safely wind-down systemically important institutions, among others.[139][140][141]A variety of regulatory changes have been proposed by economists, politicians, journalists, and business leaders to minimize the impact of the current crisis and prevent recurrence. However, as of April 2009, many of the proposed solutions have not yet been implemented. These include: Ben Bernanke: Establish resolution procedures for closing troubled financial institutions in the shadow banking system, such as investment banks and hedge funds.[142] Joseph Stiglitz: Restrict the leverage that financial institutions can assume. Require executive compensation to be more related to long-term performance.[143] Re-instate the separation of commercial (depository) and investment banking established by the Glass-Steagall Act in 1933 and repealed in 1999 by the Gramm-Leach-Bliley Act.[144] Simon Johnson: Break-up institutions that are "too big to fail" to limit systemic risk.[145] Paul Krugman: Regulate institutions that "act like banks " similarly to banks.[58] Alan Greenspan: Banks should have a stronger capital cushion, with graduated regulatory capital requirements (i.e., capital ratios that increase with bank size), to "discourage them from becoming too big and to offset their competitive advantage."[146] Warren Buffett: Require minimum down payments for home mortgages of at least 10% and income verification.[147] Eric Dinallo: Ensure any financial institution has the necessary capital to support its financial commitments. Regulate credit derivatives and ensure they are traded on well-capitalized exchanges to limit counterparty risk.[148] Raghuram Rajan: Require financial institutions to maintain sufficient "contingent capital" (i.e., pay insurance premiums to the government during boom periods, in exchange for payments during a downturn.)[149] A. Michael Spence and Gordon Brown: Establish an early-warning system to help detect systemic risk.[150] Niall Ferguson and Jeffrey Sachs: Impose haircuts on bondholders and counterparties prior to using taxpayer money in bailouts. In other words, bondholders with a claim of $100 would have their claim reduced to $80, creating $20 in equity. This is also called a debt for equity swap. This is frequently done in bankruptcies, where the current shareholders are wiped out and the bondholders become the new stockholders, agreeing to reduce the company's debt burden in the process. This is being done with General Motors, for example.[151][152] Nouriel Roubini: Nationalize insolvent banks.[153] Reduce mortgage balances to assist homeowners, giving the lender a share in any future home appreciation.[154][edit]See also Subprime mortgage crisis Subprime crisis impact timeline Economic Stimulus Act of 2008 2008 Chinese economic stimulus plan John Maynard Keynes - Keynesian resurgence of 2008 2008–2009 Keynesian resurgence List of acquired or bankrupt banks in the late 2000s financial crisis List of acquired or bankrupt United States banks in the late 2000s financial crisis List of economic crises List of entities involved in 2007–2008 financial crises 2009 G-20 London summit protests 2008 Greek riots 2009 Icelandic financial crisis protests 2009 May Day protests 2009 Moldova civil unrest 2009 Riga riot Bank failure List of largest U.S. bank failures 2008-2009 bank failures in the United States Allen Stanford Bernie Madoff Deflation Dotcom bubble FRED (Federal Reserve Economic Data) The Great Depression Low-Income Countries Under Stress (LICUS) (World Bank program) Mark-to-market accounting Deposit insurance Private equity in the 21st century The Second Great Depression (book) United States v. Winstar Corp. United States housing bubble A Failure of Capitalism (book)
[edit]References1. ^ Three top economists agree 2009 worst financial crisis since great depression; risks increase if right steps are not taken. (2009-2-29). Reuters. Retrieved 2009-9-30, from Business Wire News database.2. ^ Brookings-Financial Crisis3. ^ Bernanke-Four Questions4. ^ Obama-Regulatory Reform Speech June 17 20095. ^ Roubini-10 Risks to Global Growth6. ^ "Episode 06292007". Bill Moyers Journal. PBS. 2007-06-29. Transcript.7. ^ Lahart, Justin (2007-12-24). "Egg Cracks Differ In Housing, Finance Shells". WSJ.com (Wall Street Journal). Retrieved 2008-07-13.8. ^ Confer Thomas Philippon: "The future of the financial industry", Finance Department of the New York University Stern School of Business at New York University, link to blog [1]9. ^ Bernanke-Four Questions About the Financial Crisis10. ^ Krugman, Paul (March 2, 2009). "Revenge of the Glut". nytimes.com (New York Times).11. ^ IMF Loss Estimates12. ^ a b c Geithner-Speech Reducing Systemic Risk in a Dynamic Financial System13. ^ Greenspan-We Need a Better Cushion Against Risk14. ^ "CSI: credit crunch". 2008. Retrieved 2008-05-19.15. ^ Ben Steverman and David Bogoslaw (October 18, 2008). "The Financial Crisis Blame Game - BusinessWeek". Businessweek.com. Retrieved 2008-10-24.16. ^ a b Greenspan Kennedy Report - Table 217. ^ a b Equity extraction - Charts18. ^ a b Reuters-Spending Boosted by Home Equity Loans19. ^ a b c Fortune-The $4 trillion housing headache20. ^ [2]21. ^ "Economist-A Helping Hand to Homeowners". Economist.com. 2008-10-23. Retrieved 2009-02-27.22. ^ "U.S. FORECLOSURE ACTIVITY INCREASES 75 PERCENT IN 2007". RealtyTrac. 2008-01-29. Retrieved 2008-06-06.23. ^ "RealtyTrac Press Release 2008FY". Realtytrac.com. 2009-01-15. Retrieved 2009-02-27.24. ^ "MBA Survey".25. ^ "Federal Reserve Board: Monetary Policy and Open Market Operations". Retrieved 2008-05-19.26. ^ "The Wall Street Journal Online - Featured Article". 2008. Retrieved 2008-05-19.27. ^ Fed Historical Data-Fed Funds Rate28. ^ National Review - Mastrobattista29. ^ CNN-The Bubble Question30. ^ Business Week-Is a Housing Bubble About to Burst?31. ^ "Bernanke-The Global Saving Glut and U.S. Current Account Deficit". Federalreserve.gov. Retrieved 2009-02-27.32. ^ "[http://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/speech/bernanke20070911a.htm Chairman Ben S. Bernanke, At the Bundesbank Lecture, Berlin, Germany September 11, 2007: Global Imbalances: Recent Developments and Prospects]". Federalreserve.gov. Retrieved 2009-05-03.33. ^ "Economist-When a Flow Becomes a Flood". Economist.com. 2009-01-22. Retrieved 2009-02-27.34. ^ Roger C. Altman. "Altman-Foreign Affairs-The Great Crash of 2008". Foreignaffairs.org. Retrieved 2009-02-27.35. ^ NY Times-The Reckoning-Agency 04 Rule Lets Banks Pile on Debt36. ^ NYT-The Reckoning-Pressured to Take More Risk, Fannie Reached Tipping Point37. ^ FDIC-Guidance for Subprime Lending38. ^ "How severe is subprime mess?". msnbc.com (Associated Press). 2007-03-13. Retrieved 2008-07-13.39. ^ Ben S. Bernanke. "The Subprime Mortgage Market" Chicago, Illinois (2007-05-17). Retrieved on 2008-07-13.40. ^ Harvard Report-State of the Nation's Housing 2008 Report41. ^ NY Times - The Reckoning - Agency 04 Rule Lets Banks Pile on Debt42. ^ Chicago Federal Reserve Letter August 200743. ^ Bernanke-Mortgage Delinquencies and Foreclosures May 200844. ^ Mortgage Bankers Association - National Delinquency Survey45. ^ What Got Us Here?, December 2008.46. ^ Holmes, Steven A. (September 30, 1999). "Fannie Mae Eases Credit To Aid Mortgage Lending". The New York Times: pp. section C page 2. Retrieved 2009-03-08.47. ^ The Community Reinvestment Act After Financial Modernization, April 2000.48. ^ Portfolio-Michael Lewis-"The End"-December 200849. ^ http://banking.senate.gov/docs/reports/predlend/occ.htm50. ^ http://thinkdebtrelief.com/debt-relief-blog/money-news/bofa-modifies-64000-home-loans-as-part-of-predatory-lending-settlement/51. ^ http://republicans.oversight.house.gov/media/pdfs/20090319FriendsofAngelo.pdf52. ^ a b c Road to Ruin: Mortgage Fraud Scandal Brewing May 13, 2009 by American News Project hosted by The Real News53. ^ http://www.nytimes.com/2009/06/01/opinion/01krugman.html54. ^ Stiglitz-Capitalist Fools55. ^ Ekelund, Robert; Thornton, Mark (2008-09-04). "More Awful Truths About Republicans". Ludwig von Mises Institute. Retrieved 2008-09-07.56. ^ "SEC Concedes Oversight Flaws".57. ^ "The Reckoning".58. ^ a b c d Krugman, Paul (2009). The Return of Depression Economics and the Crisis of 2008. W.W. Norton Company Limited. ISBN 978-0-393-07101-6.59. ^ Bloomberg-Bank Hidden Junk Menaces $1 Trillion Purge60. ^ Bloomberg-Citigroup SIV Accounting Tough to Defend61. ^ Healy, Paul M. & Palepu, Krishna G.: "The Fall of Enron" - Journal of Economics Perspectives, Volume 17, Number 2. (Spring 2003), p.1362. ^ Greenspan, Alan. "Government regulation and derivative contracts" Coral Gables, FL (1997-02-21). Retrieved on 2009-10-22.63. ^ Summers, Lawrence; Alan Greenspan, Arthur Levitt, William Ranier (1999-11). Over-the-Counter Derivatives Markets and the Commodity Exchange Act: Report of The President’s Working Group on Financial Markets. p. 1. Retrieved 2009-07-20.64. ^ Forbes-Geithner's Plan for Derivatives65. ^ The Economist-Derivatives-A Nuclear Winter?66. ^ BBC-Buffet Warns on Investment Time Bomb67. ^ "The End of the Affair". Economist. 2008-10-30. Retrieved 2009-02-27.68. ^ FT-Wolf Japan's Lessons69. ^ "Agency's ’04 Rule Let Banks Pile Up New Debt, and Risk".70. ^ "AEI-The Last Trillion Dollar Commitment". Aei.org. Retrieved 2009-02-27. American Enterprise Institute is a conservative organization with a right- of-center political agenda .71. ^ "Bloomberg-U.S. Considers Bringing Fannie & Freddie Onto Budget". Bloomberg.com. 2008-09-11. Retrieved 2009-02-27.72. ^ NPR-The Giant Pool of Money73. ^ CDO Explained74. ^ Portfolio-CDO Explained75. ^ "Declaration of G20". Whitehouse.gov. Retrieved 2009-02-27.76. ^ http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/talk/blogs/paulw/2009/03/the-power-of-belief.php77. ^ "Bloomberg-Credit Swap Disclosure Obscures True Financial Risk". Bloomberg.com. 2008-11-06. Retrieved 2009-02-27.78. ^ Business Week-Who's Who on AIG List of Counterparties79. ^ http://moneyfeatures.blogs.money.cnn.com/2009/02/27/the-financial-crisis-why-did-it-happen/80. ^ a b c Salmon, Felix (2009-02-23). "Recipe for Disaster: The Formula That Killed Wall Street". Wired Magazine (17.03). Retrieved 2009-03-08.81. ^ Floyd Norris (2008). News Analysis: Another Crisis, Another Guarantee, The New York Times, November 24, 200882. ^ Soros, George (January 22, 2008). "The worst market crisis in 60 years". Financial Times (London, UK). Retrieved 2009-03-08.83. ^ FT Martin Wolf - Reform of Regulation and Incentives84. ^ Light Crude Oil Chart85. ^ Soros - Rocketing Oil Price is a Bubble86. ^ Mises Institute-The Oil Price Bubble87. ^ http://www.ismea.org/INESDEV/AMIN.eng.html88. ^ http://www.globalresearch.ca/index.php?context=va&aid=1109989. ^ http://monthlyreview.org/080401foster.php90. ^ Bogle, John (2005). The Battle for the Soul of Capitalism. Yale University Press. ISBN 978-0-300-11971-8.91. ^ Battle for the Soul of Capitalism92. ^ Bezemer, Dirk J (June 2009). "“No One Saw This Coming”: Understanding Financial Crisis Through Accounting Models". Munich Personal RePEc Archive. Retrieved 2009-10-23.93. ^ Businessweek Magazine94. ^ [3]"Dr. Doom", By Stephen Mihm, August 15, 2008, New York Times Magazine95. ^ [4] Emma Brockes, "He Told Us So," The Guardian, January 24, 2009.96. ^ "Recession in America," The Economist, November 15, 2007.97. ^ Richard Berner, "Perfect Storm for the American Consumer," Morgan Stanley Global Economic Forum, November 12, 2007.98. ^ Kabir Chibber, "Goldman Sees Subprime Cutting $2 Trillion in Lending," Bloomberg.com, November 16, 2007.99. ^ HM Treasury, Bank of England and Financial Services Authority (September 14, 2007). "News Release: Liquidity Support Facility for Northern Rock plc".100. ^ a b Roger C. Altman. "Altman - The Great Crash". Foreign Affairs. Retrieved 2009-02-27.101. ^ NYT-102. ^ "3 year chart" TED spread Bloomberg.com "Investment Tools"103. ^ NYT The Reckoning - As Crisis Spiraled, Alarm Led to Action104. ^ Raum, Tom (October 3, 2008) Bush signs $700 billion bailout bill. NPR105. ^ Search Site. "Nicole Gelinas-Can the Fed's Uncrunch Credit?". City-journal.org. Retrieved 2009-02-27.106. ^ Brookings Institute - U.S. Financial and Economic Crisis June 2009 PDF Page 14107. ^ Roger C. Altman. "The Great Crash, 2008 - Roger C. Altman". Foreign Affairs. Retrieved 2009-02-27.108. ^ Americans' wealth drops $1.3 trillion. CNNMoney.com. June 11, 2009109. ^ Government Support for Financial Assets and Liabilities Announced in 2008 and Soon Thereafter ($ in billions). Page 7. FDIC Supervisory Insight Publication. Summer 2009.110. ^ Baker, Dean (November 29, 2008). "It's Not the Credit Crisis, Damn It!". Retrieved 2009-03-08.111. ^ Uchitelle, Louis (September 18, 2008). "Pain Spreads as Credit Vise Grows Tighter". The New York Times: pp. A1. Retrieved 2009-03-08.112. ^ "Lehman Files for Bankruptcy; Merrill Is Sold" article by Andrew Ross Sorkin in The New York Times September 14, 2008113. ^ "Lloyds Bank Is Discussing Purchase of British Lender" article by Julia Werdigier in The New York Times September 17, 2008114. ^ Norris, Floyd (2008-10-24). "United Panic". The New York Times. Retrieved 2008-10-24.115. ^ Evans-Pritchard, Ambrose (2007-07-25). "Dollar tumbles as huge credit crunch looms". Telegraph.co.uk (Telegraph Media Group Limited). Retrieved 2008-10-15.116. ^ Central banks act to calm markets, The Financial Times, September 18, 2008117. ^ Landler, Mark (2008-10-23). "West Is in Talks on Credit to Aid Poorer Nations". The New York Times. Retrieved 2008-10-24.118. ^ Fackler, Martin (2008-10-23). "Trouble Without Borders". The New York Times. Retrieved 2008-10-24.119. ^ Goodman, Peter S. (September 26, 2008). "Credit Enters a Lockdown". The New York Times: pp. A1. Retrieved 2009-03-08.120. ^ Cho, David; Appelbaum, Binyamin (2008-10-07). "Unfolding Worldwide Turmoil Could Reverse Years of Prosperity". The Washington Post: pp. A01. Retrieved 2009-03-08.121. ^ Since 1934, FDIC has closed more than 3,500 banks. More than 82% failed during the savings-and-loan crisis (chart)."Bank on this: bank failures will rise in next year". Associated Press. 2008-10-05.122. ^ UBS AG. "Recession". There is no alternative. Daily roundup for 2008-10-06. Retrieved 2008-10-12. 'global growth at 2.2% yoy (previously 2.8%). The IMF brands 2.5% yoy a "recession".' 'global collapse is inevitable' ... 'at least two years before we can talk of a normalisation in economic activity'123. ^ UBS AG. A plan to save the world. Daily roundup for 2008-10-09. Retrieved 2008-10-13. "The actions yesterday can not stop a significant economic downturn."124. ^ UBS AG. Fears of recession loom. Daily roundup for 2008-10-09. Retrieved 2008-10-17. "short by historical standards"125. ^ [5]126. ^ UBS AG.The IMF in March, 2009 forecast that it would be the first occasion since the great depression that the world economy as a whole would contract. Be afraid. Be very afraid. Daily roundup for 2008-10-31. Retrieved 2008-11-02. "NEGATIVE growth in 2009 for the US, UK, Euro area and Canada. Japan is the fastest growing G7 economy at 0.1% growth. Global growth in 2009 forecast at 1.3%."127. ^ Brookings-Baily and Elliot-The U.S. Financial and Economic Crisis-June 2009128. ^ Following crisis, Arab world loses $3 trillion129. ^ Unemployment in Arab world is a 'time bomb'130. ^ UN reports drop in foreign investment in Mideast-2008131. ^ World Bank predicts tough year for Arab states132. ^ Recession costs Arab banks $4B133. ^ BEA Press Releases134. ^ BLS-Historical Unemployment Rate Table135. ^ Business Week-Unemployed lose with hour and wage cuts136. ^ FOMC Statement June 24 2009137. ^ Minutes of the FOMC April 2009138. ^ "BBC - Stimulus Package 2009". BBC News. 2009-02-14. Retrieved 2009-02-27.139. ^ [6]140. ^ Washington Post - Geithner & Summers - A New Financial Foundation141. ^ Treasury Department Report - Financial Regulatory Reform142. ^ "Bernanke Remarks". Federalreserve.gov. 2008-12-01. Retrieved 2009-02-27.143. ^ "Stigliz Recommendations".144. ^ Stiglitz - Vanity Fair - Capitalist Fools145. ^ WSJ-Economists Seek Breakup of Big Banks146. ^ Greenspan-We need a better cushion against risk147. ^ Warren Buffet-2008 Shareholder's Letter Summary148. ^ Dinallo-We Modernized Ourselves Into This Ice Age149. ^ The Economist-Rajan-Cycle Proof Regulation150. ^ "PIMCO-Lessons from the Crisis". Pimco.com. 2008-11-26. Retrieved 2009-02-27.151. ^ Jeffrey Sachs-Our Wall Street Besotted Public Policy152. ^ FT-Ferguson-Beyond the Age of Leverage153. ^ Roubini-Charlie Rose Interview154. ^ Risks to Global GrowthThe initial articles and some subsequent material were adapted from the Wikinfo article "Financial crisis of 2007-2008"http://www.wikinfo.org/index.php?title=Financial_crisis_of_2007-2008 released under the GNU Free Documentation License Version 1.2[edit]External links and further reading Reuters: Times of Crisis - multimedia interactive charting the year of global change Stewart, James B., "Eight Days: the battle to save the American financial system", The New Yorker magazine, September 21, 2009. Testing the Efficiency of the Commercial Real Estate Market: Evidence from the 2007-2009 Financial Crisis - Paper by Otto Van Hemert, NYU Stern & AQR Capital Management Princeton Economist Alan Blinder Lecture - Origins of the Financial Mess PBS Frontline - Inside the Meltdown Economic Crisis and Stimulus from UCB Libraries GovPubs Credit Crisis — The Essentials topic page from The New York Times Credit Crisis Indicators (Updated daily) - Five ways to measure recent market disruption, from the New York Times Gjerstad, Steven; and Vernon L. Smith (2009-04-06). "From Bubble to Depression? Why the Housing Bubble Crashed the Financial System but the Dot-com Bubble Did Not". Wall Street Journal. p. A15. John C. Hull, The Credit Crunch of 2007: What Went Wrong? Why? What Lessons Can Be Learned?, Rothman School Research Paper, available here The Global Financial Crisis and Responses by the Churches (Arnold Neufeldt-Fast, PhD, Tyndale Seminary, Toronto) Impact of the Financial Crisis Towers Perrin Thought Leadership NYU Stern on Finance - Understanding the Financial Crisis Davis Polk Financial Crisis Manual How nations around the world are responding to the global financial crisis from
[edit]References1. ^ Three top economists agree 2009 worst financial crisis since great depression; risks increase if right steps are not taken. (2009-2-29). Reuters. Retrieved 2009-9-30, from Business Wire News database.2. ^ Brookings-Financial Crisis3. ^ Bernanke-Four Questions4. ^ Obama-Regulatory Reform Speech June 17 20095. ^ Roubini-10 Risks to Global Growth6. ^ "Episode 06292007". Bill Moyers Journal. PBS. 2007-06-29. Transcript.7. ^ Lahart, Justin (2007-12-24). "Egg Cracks Differ In Housing, Finance Shells". WSJ.com (Wall Street Journal). Retrieved 2008-07-13.8. ^ Confer Thomas Philippon: "The future of the financial industry", Finance Department of the New York University Stern School of Business at New York University, link to blog [1]9. ^ Bernanke-Four Questions About the Financial Crisis10. ^ Krugman, Paul (March 2, 2009). "Revenge of the Glut". nytimes.com (New York Times).11. ^ IMF Loss Estimates12. ^ a b c Geithner-Speech Reducing Systemic Risk in a Dynamic Financial System13. ^ Greenspan-We Need a Better Cushion Against Risk14. ^ "CSI: credit crunch". 2008. Retrieved 2008-05-19.15. ^ Ben Steverman and David Bogoslaw (October 18, 2008). "The Financial Crisis Blame Game - BusinessWeek". Businessweek.com. Retrieved 2008-10-24.16. ^ a b Greenspan Kennedy Report - Table 217. ^ a b Equity extraction - Charts18. ^ a b Reuters-Spending Boosted by Home Equity Loans19. ^ a b c Fortune-The $4 trillion housing headache20. ^ [2]21. ^ "Economist-A Helping Hand to Homeowners". Economist.com. 2008-10-23. Retrieved 2009-02-27.22. ^ "U.S. FORECLOSURE ACTIVITY INCREASES 75 PERCENT IN 2007". RealtyTrac. 2008-01-29. Retrieved 2008-06-06.23. ^ "RealtyTrac Press Release 2008FY". Realtytrac.com. 2009-01-15. Retrieved 2009-02-27.24. ^ "MBA Survey".25. ^ "Federal Reserve Board: Monetary Policy and Open Market Operations". Retrieved 2008-05-19.26. ^ "The Wall Street Journal Online - Featured Article". 2008. Retrieved 2008-05-19.27. ^ Fed Historical Data-Fed Funds Rate28. ^ National Review - Mastrobattista29. ^ CNN-The Bubble Question30. ^ Business Week-Is a Housing Bubble About to Burst?31. ^ "Bernanke-The Global Saving Glut and U.S. Current Account Deficit". Federalreserve.gov. Retrieved 2009-02-27.32. ^ "[http://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/speech/bernanke20070911a.htm Chairman Ben S. Bernanke, At the Bundesbank Lecture, Berlin, Germany September 11, 2007: Global Imbalances: Recent Developments and Prospects]". Federalreserve.gov. Retrieved 2009-05-03.33. ^ "Economist-When a Flow Becomes a Flood". Economist.com. 2009-01-22. Retrieved 2009-02-27.34. ^ Roger C. Altman. "Altman-Foreign Affairs-The Great Crash of 2008". Foreignaffairs.org. Retrieved 2009-02-27.35. ^ NY Times-The Reckoning-Agency 04 Rule Lets Banks Pile on Debt36. ^ NYT-The Reckoning-Pressured to Take More Risk, Fannie Reached Tipping Point37. ^ FDIC-Guidance for Subprime Lending38. ^ "How severe is subprime mess?". msnbc.com (Associated Press). 2007-03-13. Retrieved 2008-07-13.39. ^ Ben S. Bernanke. "The Subprime Mortgage Market" Chicago, Illinois (2007-05-17). Retrieved on 2008-07-13.40. ^ Harvard Report-State of the Nation's Housing 2008 Report41. ^ NY Times - The Reckoning - Agency 04 Rule Lets Banks Pile on Debt42. ^ Chicago Federal Reserve Letter August 200743. ^ Bernanke-Mortgage Delinquencies and Foreclosures May 200844. ^ Mortgage Bankers Association - National Delinquency Survey45. ^ What Got Us Here?, December 2008.46. ^ Holmes, Steven A. (September 30, 1999). "Fannie Mae Eases Credit To Aid Mortgage Lending". The New York Times: pp. section C page 2. Retrieved 2009-03-08.47. ^ The Community Reinvestment Act After Financial Modernization, April 2000.48. ^ Portfolio-Michael Lewis-"The End"-December 200849. ^ http://banking.senate.gov/docs/reports/predlend/occ.htm50. ^ http://thinkdebtrelief.com/debt-relief-blog/money-news/bofa-modifies-64000-home-loans-as-part-of-predatory-lending-settlement/51. ^ http://republicans.oversight.house.gov/media/pdfs/20090319FriendsofAngelo.pdf52. ^ a b c Road to Ruin: Mortgage Fraud Scandal Brewing May 13, 2009 by American News Project hosted by The Real News53. ^ http://www.nytimes.com/2009/06/01/opinion/01krugman.html54. ^ Stiglitz-Capitalist Fools55. ^ Ekelund, Robert; Thornton, Mark (2008-09-04). "More Awful Truths About Republicans". Ludwig von Mises Institute. Retrieved 2008-09-07.56. ^ "SEC Concedes Oversight Flaws".57. ^ "The Reckoning".58. ^ a b c d Krugman, Paul (2009). The Return of Depression Economics and the Crisis of 2008. W.W. Norton Company Limited. ISBN 978-0-393-07101-6.59. ^ Bloomberg-Bank Hidden Junk Menaces $1 Trillion Purge60. ^ Bloomberg-Citigroup SIV Accounting Tough to Defend61. ^ Healy, Paul M. & Palepu, Krishna G.: "The Fall of Enron" - Journal of Economics Perspectives, Volume 17, Number 2. (Spring 2003), p.1362. ^ Greenspan, Alan. "Government regulation and derivative contracts" Coral Gables, FL (1997-02-21). Retrieved on 2009-10-22.63. ^ Summers, Lawrence; Alan Greenspan, Arthur Levitt, William Ranier (1999-11). Over-the-Counter Derivatives Markets and the Commodity Exchange Act: Report of The President’s Working Group on Financial Markets. p. 1. Retrieved 2009-07-20.64. ^ Forbes-Geithner's Plan for Derivatives65. ^ The Economist-Derivatives-A Nuclear Winter?66. ^ BBC-Buffet Warns on Investment Time Bomb67. ^ "The End of the Affair". Economist. 2008-10-30. Retrieved 2009-02-27.68. ^ FT-Wolf Japan's Lessons69. ^ "Agency's ’04 Rule Let Banks Pile Up New Debt, and Risk".70. ^ "AEI-The Last Trillion Dollar Commitment". Aei.org. Retrieved 2009-02-27. American Enterprise Institute is a conservative organization with a right- of-center political agenda .71. ^ "Bloomberg-U.S. Considers Bringing Fannie & Freddie Onto Budget". Bloomberg.com. 2008-09-11. Retrieved 2009-02-27.72. ^ NPR-The Giant Pool of Money73. ^ CDO Explained74. ^ Portfolio-CDO Explained75. ^ "Declaration of G20". Whitehouse.gov. Retrieved 2009-02-27.76. ^ http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/talk/blogs/paulw/2009/03/the-power-of-belief.php77. ^ "Bloomberg-Credit Swap Disclosure Obscures True Financial Risk". Bloomberg.com. 2008-11-06. Retrieved 2009-02-27.78. ^ Business Week-Who's Who on AIG List of Counterparties79. ^ http://moneyfeatures.blogs.money.cnn.com/2009/02/27/the-financial-crisis-why-did-it-happen/80. ^ a b c Salmon, Felix (2009-02-23). "Recipe for Disaster: The Formula That Killed Wall Street". Wired Magazine (17.03). Retrieved 2009-03-08.81. ^ Floyd Norris (2008). News Analysis: Another Crisis, Another Guarantee, The New York Times, November 24, 200882. ^ Soros, George (January 22, 2008). "The worst market crisis in 60 years". Financial Times (London, UK). Retrieved 2009-03-08.83. ^ FT Martin Wolf - Reform of Regulation and Incentives84. ^ Light Crude Oil Chart85. ^ Soros - Rocketing Oil Price is a Bubble86. ^ Mises Institute-The Oil Price Bubble87. ^ http://www.ismea.org/INESDEV/AMIN.eng.html88. ^ http://www.globalresearch.ca/index.php?context=va&aid=1109989. ^ http://monthlyreview.org/080401foster.php90. ^ Bogle, John (2005). The Battle for the Soul of Capitalism. Yale University Press. ISBN 978-0-300-11971-8.91. ^ Battle for the Soul of Capitalism92. ^ Bezemer, Dirk J (June 2009). "“No One Saw This Coming”: Understanding Financial Crisis Through Accounting Models". Munich Personal RePEc Archive. Retrieved 2009-10-23.93. ^ Businessweek Magazine94. ^ [3]"Dr. Doom", By Stephen Mihm, August 15, 2008, New York Times Magazine95. ^ [4] Emma Brockes, "He Told Us So," The Guardian, January 24, 2009.96. ^ "Recession in America," The Economist, November 15, 2007.97. ^ Richard Berner, "Perfect Storm for the American Consumer," Morgan Stanley Global Economic Forum, November 12, 2007.98. ^ Kabir Chibber, "Goldman Sees Subprime Cutting $2 Trillion in Lending," Bloomberg.com, November 16, 2007.99. ^ HM Treasury, Bank of England and Financial Services Authority (September 14, 2007). "News Release: Liquidity Support Facility for Northern Rock plc".100. ^ a b Roger C. Altman. "Altman - The Great Crash". Foreign Affairs. Retrieved 2009-02-27.101. ^ NYT-102. ^ "3 year chart" TED spread Bloomberg.com "Investment Tools"103. ^ NYT The Reckoning - As Crisis Spiraled, Alarm Led to Action104. ^ Raum, Tom (October 3, 2008) Bush signs $700 billion bailout bill. NPR105. ^ Search Site. "Nicole Gelinas-Can the Fed's Uncrunch Credit?". City-journal.org. Retrieved 2009-02-27.106. ^ Brookings Institute - U.S. Financial and Economic Crisis June 2009 PDF Page 14107. ^ Roger C. Altman. "The Great Crash, 2008 - Roger C. Altman". Foreign Affairs. Retrieved 2009-02-27.108. ^ Americans' wealth drops $1.3 trillion. CNNMoney.com. June 11, 2009109. ^ Government Support for Financial Assets and Liabilities Announced in 2008 and Soon Thereafter ($ in billions). Page 7. FDIC Supervisory Insight Publication. Summer 2009.110. ^ Baker, Dean (November 29, 2008). "It's Not the Credit Crisis, Damn It!". Retrieved 2009-03-08.111. ^ Uchitelle, Louis (September 18, 2008). "Pain Spreads as Credit Vise Grows Tighter". The New York Times: pp. A1. Retrieved 2009-03-08.112. ^ "Lehman Files for Bankruptcy; Merrill Is Sold" article by Andrew Ross Sorkin in The New York Times September 14, 2008113. ^ "Lloyds Bank Is Discussing Purchase of British Lender" article by Julia Werdigier in The New York Times September 17, 2008114. ^ Norris, Floyd (2008-10-24). "United Panic". The New York Times. Retrieved 2008-10-24.115. ^ Evans-Pritchard, Ambrose (2007-07-25). "Dollar tumbles as huge credit crunch looms". Telegraph.co.uk (Telegraph Media Group Limited). Retrieved 2008-10-15.116. ^ Central banks act to calm markets, The Financial Times, September 18, 2008117. ^ Landler, Mark (2008-10-23). "West Is in Talks on Credit to Aid Poorer Nations". The New York Times. Retrieved 2008-10-24.118. ^ Fackler, Martin (2008-10-23). "Trouble Without Borders". The New York Times. Retrieved 2008-10-24.119. ^ Goodman, Peter S. (September 26, 2008). "Credit Enters a Lockdown". The New York Times: pp. A1. Retrieved 2009-03-08.120. ^ Cho, David; Appelbaum, Binyamin (2008-10-07). "Unfolding Worldwide Turmoil Could Reverse Years of Prosperity". The Washington Post: pp. A01. Retrieved 2009-03-08.121. ^ Since 1934, FDIC has closed more than 3,500 banks. More than 82% failed during the savings-and-loan crisis (chart)."Bank on this: bank failures will rise in next year". Associated Press. 2008-10-05.122. ^ UBS AG. "Recession". There is no alternative. Daily roundup for 2008-10-06. Retrieved 2008-10-12. 'global growth at 2.2% yoy (previously 2.8%). The IMF brands 2.5% yoy a "recession".' 'global collapse is inevitable' ... 'at least two years before we can talk of a normalisation in economic activity'123. ^ UBS AG. A plan to save the world. Daily roundup for 2008-10-09. Retrieved 2008-10-13. "The actions yesterday can not stop a significant economic downturn."124. ^ UBS AG. Fears of recession loom. Daily roundup for 2008-10-09. Retrieved 2008-10-17. "short by historical standards"125. ^ [5]126. ^ UBS AG.The IMF in March, 2009 forecast that it would be the first occasion since the great depression that the world economy as a whole would contract. Be afraid. Be very afraid. Daily roundup for 2008-10-31. Retrieved 2008-11-02. "NEGATIVE growth in 2009 for the US, UK, Euro area and Canada. Japan is the fastest growing G7 economy at 0.1% growth. Global growth in 2009 forecast at 1.3%."127. ^ Brookings-Baily and Elliot-The U.S. Financial and Economic Crisis-June 2009128. ^ Following crisis, Arab world loses $3 trillion129. ^ Unemployment in Arab world is a 'time bomb'130. ^ UN reports drop in foreign investment in Mideast-2008131. ^ World Bank predicts tough year for Arab states132. ^ Recession costs Arab banks $4B133. ^ BEA Press Releases134. ^ BLS-Historical Unemployment Rate Table135. ^ Business Week-Unemployed lose with hour and wage cuts136. ^ FOMC Statement June 24 2009137. ^ Minutes of the FOMC April 2009138. ^ "BBC - Stimulus Package 2009". BBC News. 2009-02-14. Retrieved 2009-02-27.139. ^ [6]140. ^ Washington Post - Geithner & Summers - A New Financial Foundation141. ^ Treasury Department Report - Financial Regulatory Reform142. ^ "Bernanke Remarks". Federalreserve.gov. 2008-12-01. Retrieved 2009-02-27.143. ^ "Stigliz Recommendations".144. ^ Stiglitz - Vanity Fair - Capitalist Fools145. ^ WSJ-Economists Seek Breakup of Big Banks146. ^ Greenspan-We need a better cushion against risk147. ^ Warren Buffet-2008 Shareholder's Letter Summary148. ^ Dinallo-We Modernized Ourselves Into This Ice Age149. ^ The Economist-Rajan-Cycle Proof Regulation150. ^ "PIMCO-Lessons from the Crisis". Pimco.com. 2008-11-26. Retrieved 2009-02-27.151. ^ Jeffrey Sachs-Our Wall Street Besotted Public Policy152. ^ FT-Ferguson-Beyond the Age of Leverage153. ^ Roubini-Charlie Rose Interview154. ^ Risks to Global GrowthThe initial articles and some subsequent material were adapted from the Wikinfo article "Financial crisis of 2007-2008"http://www.wikinfo.org/index.php?title=Financial_crisis_of_2007-2008 released under the GNU Free Documentation License Version 1.2[edit]External links and further reading Reuters: Times of Crisis - multimedia interactive charting the year of global change Stewart, James B., "Eight Days: the battle to save the American financial system", The New Yorker magazine, September 21, 2009. Testing the Efficiency of the Commercial Real Estate Market: Evidence from the 2007-2009 Financial Crisis - Paper by Otto Van Hemert, NYU Stern & AQR Capital Management Princeton Economist Alan Blinder Lecture - Origins of the Financial Mess PBS Frontline - Inside the Meltdown Economic Crisis and Stimulus from UCB Libraries GovPubs Credit Crisis — The Essentials topic page from The New York Times Credit Crisis Indicators (Updated daily) - Five ways to measure recent market disruption, from the New York Times Gjerstad, Steven; and Vernon L. Smith (2009-04-06). "From Bubble to Depression? Why the Housing Bubble Crashed the Financial System but the Dot-com Bubble Did Not". Wall Street Journal. p. A15. John C. Hull, The Credit Crunch of 2007: What Went Wrong? Why? What Lessons Can Be Learned?, Rothman School Research Paper, available here The Global Financial Crisis and Responses by the Churches (Arnold Neufeldt-Fast, PhD, Tyndale Seminary, Toronto) Impact of the Financial Crisis Towers Perrin Thought Leadership NYU Stern on Finance - Understanding the Financial Crisis Davis Polk Financial Crisis Manual How nations around the world are responding to the global financial crisis from
Economist Dean Baker explained the reduction in the availability of credit this way:"Yes, consumers and businesses can't get credit as easily as they could a year ago. There is a really good reason for tighter credit. Tens of millions of homeowners who had substantial equity in their homes two years ago have little or nothing today. Businesses are facing the worst downturn since the Great Depression. This matters for credit decisions. A homeowner with equity in her home is very unlikely to default on a car loan or credit card debt. They will draw on this equity rather than lose their car and/or have a default placed on their credit record. On the other hand, a homeowner who has no equity is a serious default risk. In the case of businesses, their creditworthiness depends on their future profits. Profit prospects look much worse in November 2008 than they did in November 2007 (of course, to clear-eyed analysts, they didn't look too good a year ago either). While many banks are obviously at the brink, consumers and businesses would be facing a much harder time getting credit right now even if the financial system were rock solid. The problem with the economy is the loss of close to $6 trillion in housing wealth and an even larger amount of stock wealth. Economists, economic policy makers and economic reporters virtually all missed the housing bubble on the way up. If they still can't notice its impact as the collapse of the bubble throws into the worst recession in the post-war era, then they are in the wrong profession."[110]At the heart of the portfolios of many of these institutions were investments whose assets had been derived from bundled home mortgages. Exposure to these mortgage-backed securities, or to the credit derivatives used to insure them against failure, caused the collapse or takeover of several key firms such as Lehman Brothers, AIG, Merrill Lynch, and HBOS.[111][112][113][edit]Global contagionThe crisis rapidly developed and spread into a global economic shock, resulting in a number of European bank failures, declines in various stock indexes, and large reductions in the market value of equities[114] and commodities.[115] Moreover, the de-leveraging of financial institutions, as assets were sold to pay back obligations that could not be refinanced in frozen credit markets, further accelerated the liquidity crisis and caused a decrease in international trade.World political leaders, national ministers of finance and central bank directors coordinated their efforts[116] to reduce fears, but the crisis continued. At the end of October 2008 a currency crisis developed, with investors transferring vast capital resources into stronger currencies such as the yen, the dollar and the Swiss franc, leading many emergent economies to seek aid from the International Monetary Fund.[117][118][edit]Effects on the global economy Global impact of the crisisMain article: Late-2000s recession[edit]Global effectsA number of commentators have suggested that if the liquidity crisis continues, there could be an extended recession or worse.[119] The continuing development of the crisis prompted fears of a global economic collapse.[120] The financial crisis is likely to yield the biggest banking shakeout since the savings-and-loan meltdown.[121] Investment bank UBSstated on October 6 that 2008 would see a clear global recession, with recovery unlikely for at least two years.[122] Three days later UBS economists announced that the "beginning of the end" of the crisis had begun, with the world starting to make the necessary actions to fix the crisis: capital injection by governments; injection made systemically; interest rate cuts to help borrowers. The United Kingdom had started systemic injection, and the world's central banks were now cutting interest rates. UBS emphasized the United States needed to implement systemic injection. UBS further emphasized that this fixes only the financial crisis, but that in economic terms "the worst is still to come".[123] UBS quantified their expected recession durations on October 16: the Eurozone's would last two quarters, the United States' would last three quarters, and the United Kingdom's would last four quarters.[124] Theeconomic crisis in Iceland involved all three of the country's major banks. Relative to the size of its economy, Iceland’s banking collapse is the largest suffered by any country in economic history.[125]At the end of October UBS revised its outlook downwards: the forthcoming recession would be the worst since the Reagan recession of 1981 and 1982 with negative 2009 growth for the U.S., Eurozone, UK and Canada; very limited recovery in 2010; but not as bad as the Great Depression.[126]The Brookings Institution reported in June 2009 that U.S. consumption accounted for more than a third of the growth in global consumption between 2000 and 2007. "The US economy has been spending too much and borrowing too much for years and the rest of the world depended on the U.S. consumer as a source of global demand." With a recession in the U.S. and the increased savings rate of U.S. consumers, declines in growth elsewhere have been dramatic. For the first quarter of 2009, the annualized rate of decline in GDP was 14.4% in Germany, 15.2% in Japan, 7.4% in the UK, 9.8% in the Euro area and 21.5% for Mexico.[127]By March 2009, the Arab world had lost $3 trillion due to the crisis.[128]In April 2009, unemployment in the Arab world is said to be a 'time bomb'.[129]In May 2009, the United Nations reported a drop in foreign investment in Middle-Eastern economies due to a slower rise in demand for oil.[130]In June 2009, the World Bank predicted a tough year for Arab states.[131]In September 2009, Arab banks reported losts nearly to $4 billion since the global financial crisis onset.[132][edit]U.S. economic effectsReal gross domestic product — the output of goods and services produced by labor and property located in the United States — decreased at an annual rate of approximately 6 percent in the fourth quarter of 2008 and first quarter of 2009, versus activity in the year-ago periods.[133] The U.S. unemployment rate increased to 9.5% by June 2009, the highest rate since 1983 and roughly twice the pre-crisis rate. The average hours per work week declined to 33, the lowest level since the government began collecting the data in 1964.[134][135]
Sunday, November 1, 2009
Role of economic forecastingDirk Bezemer in his research [92] credits 12 economists with predicting (with supporting argument and estimates of timing) the crisis: Dean Baker (US), Wynne Godley (US), Fred Harrison (UK), Michael Hudson (US), Eric Janszen (US), Stephen Keen (Australia), Jakob Brøchner Madsen & Jens Kjaer Sørensen (Denmark), Kurt Richebächer (US), Nouriel Roubini(US), Peter Schiff (US), Robert Shiller(US).A cover story in BusinessWeek Magazine claims that economists mostly failed to predict the worst international economic crisis since theGreat Depression of 1930s.[93]. The Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania online business journal examines why economists failed to predict a major global financial crisis [7]. An article in the New York Times informs that economist Nouriel Roubini warned of such crisis as early as September 2006, and the article goes on to state that the profession of economics is bad at predicting recessions.[94] According toThe Guardian, Roubini was ridiculed for predicting a collapse of the housing market and worldwide recession, while The New York Times labelled him "Dr. Doom".[95] However, there are examples of other experts who gave indications of a financial crisis.[96][97][98][edit]Financial markets impacts[edit]Impacts on financial institutions 2007 bank run on Northern Rock, a UK bankOne of the first victims was Northern Rock, a medium-sized British bank.[99] The highly leveraged nature of its business led the bank to request security from the Bank of England. This in turn led to investor panic and a bank run in mid-September 2007. Calls by Liberal Democrat Shadow Chancellor Vince Cable to nationalise the institution were initially ignored; in February 2008, however, the British government (having failed to find a private sector buyer) relented, and the bank was taken into public hands. Northern Rock's problems proved to be an early indication of the troubles that would soon befall other banks and financial institutions.Initially the companies affected were those directly involved in home construction and mortgage lending such as Northern Rock and Countrywide Financial, as they could no longer obtain financing through the credit markets. Over 100 mortgage lenders went bankrupt during 2007 and 2008. Concerns that investment bank Bear Stearns would collapse in March 2008 resulted in its fire-sale to JP Morgan Chase. The crisis hit its peak in September and October 2008. Several major institutions either failed, were acquired under duress, or were subject to government takeover. These included Lehman Brothers, Merrill Lynch, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, and AIG.[100]See also: Federal takeover of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac[edit]Credit markets and the shadow banking system TED spread and components during 2008During September 2008, the crisis hits its most critical stage. There was the equivalent of a bank run on the money market mutual funds, which frequently invest in commercial paper issued by corporations to fund their operations and payrolls. Withdrawal from money markets were $144.5 billion during one week, versus $7.1 billion the week prior. This interrupted the ability of corporations to rollover (replace) their short-term debt. The U.S. government responded by extending insurance for money market accounts analogous to bank deposit insurance via a temporary guarantee[101] and with Federal Reserve programs to purchase commercial paper. The TED spread, an indicator of perceived credit risk in the general economy, spiked up in July 2007, remained volatile for a year, then spiked even higher in September 2008,[102] reaching a record 4.65% on October 10, 2008.In a dramatic meeting on September 18, 2008 Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson and Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke met with key legislators to propose a $700 billion emergency bailout. Bernanke reportedly tells them: "If we don't do this, we may not have an economy on Monday."[103] The Emergency Economic Stabilization Act also called the Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP) is signed into law on October 3, 2008.[104]Economist Paul Krugman and U.S. Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner explain the credit crisis via the implosion of the shadow banking system, which had grown to nearly equal the importance of the traditional commercial banking sector as described above. Without the ability to obtain investor funds in exchange for most types of mortgage-backed securities or asset-backed commercial paper, investment banks and other entities in the shadow banking system could not provide funds to mortgage firms and other corporations.[12][58]This meant that nearly one-third of the U.S. lending mechanism was frozen and continued to be frozen into June 2009.[105] According to theBrookings Institution, the traditional banking system does not have the capital to close this gap as of June 2009: "It would take a number of years of strong profits to generate sufficient capital to support that additional lending volume." The authors also indicate that some forms of securitization are "likely to vanish forever, having been an artifact of excessively loose credit conditions." While traditional banks have raised their lending standards, it was the collapse of the shadow banking system that is the primary cause of the reduction in funds available for borrowing.[106][edit]Wealth effectsThere is a direct relationship between declines in wealth, and declines in consumption and business investment, which along with government spending represent the economic engine. Between June 2007 and November 2008, Americans lost an estimated average of more than a quarter of their collective net worth. By early November 2008, a broad U.S. stock index the S&P 500, was down 45 percent from its 2007 high. Housing prices had dropped 20% from their 2006 peak, with futures markets signaling a 30-35% potential drop. Total home equity in the United States, which was valued at $13 trillion at its peak in 2006, had dropped to $8.8 trillion by mid-2008 and was still falling in late 2008. Total retirement assets, Americans' second-largest household asset, dropped by 22 percent, from $10.3 trillion in 2006 to $8 trillion in mid-2008. During the same period, savings and investment assets (apart from retirement savings) lost $1.2 trillion and pension assets lost $1.3 trillion. Taken together, these losses total a staggering $8.3 trillion.[107] Since peaking in the second quarter of 2007, household wealth is down $14 trillion.[108]Further, U.S. homeowners had extracted significant equity in their homes in the years leading up to the crisis, which they could no longer do once housing prices collapsed. Free cash used by consumers from home equity extraction doubled from $627 billion in 2001 to $1,428 billion in 2005 as the housing bubble built, a total of nearly $5 trillion over the period.[16][17][18] U.S. home mortgage debt relative to GDP increased from an average of 46% during the 1990s to 73% during 2008, reaching $10.5 trillion.[19]To offset this decline in consumption and lending capacity, the U.S. government and U.S. Federal Reserve have committed $13.9 trillion, of which $6.8 trillion has been invested or spent, as of June 2009.[109] In effect, the Fed has gone from being the "lender of last resort" to the "lender of only resort" for a significant portion of the economy. In some cases the Fed can now be considered the "buyer of last resort."
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